RBA chief confident dollar will slip
He also said the dollar was likely to fall "materially" at some point in the future, although he was not specific.
"The terms of trade are likely to fall, not rise, from here," he said. "So it seems quite likely that at some point in the future the Australian dollar will be materially lower than it is today."
The Aussie fell on his comments, shedding more than a quarter of a cent from US95.75¢ to about US95.40¢. It continued its slide later in the day, and was buying US95.09¢ late on Tuesday.
Mr Stevens' comments on preferring a lower dollar are not new, although they have come after a brief period in which the RBA appeared to be more comfortable with its recent elevated levels.
He also sounded an upbeat note about the state of the world economy, saying a recent meeting of global policymakers in Washington had a "distinctly more relaxed tone" than at similar meetings earlier this year.
The US economy appeared to be "healing", Chinese economic activity looked "robust", and sentiment in Australia had improved in the past year, he said.
And though it was too early to signal "great concern" about recent house price rises across the nation, he singled out Sydney's property market, where the rate of finance approvals has increased more than 40 per cent in the past year, and warned banks and home buyers not to get ahead of themselves.
The RBA governor said he did not think the signs were worrying in the Australian property market because some increase in house prices was part of the "normal cyclical dynamic".
"My own view, thus far, has been that some rise in housing prices is part of the normal cyclical dynamic, that it improves the incentive to build, and that a price rise reversing an earlier decline probably isn't something to complain about too quickly," he said.
"Lenders and borrowers alike would be well advised to take due care ... it is very important that strong lending standards remain in place, and that decisions be based on sensible assumptions about future returns," he said.
His comments about Australia's property market were echoed on Tuesday by Australia Prudential Regulation Authority chairman John Laker.
Mr Laker warned homeowners not to expect the present low interest rates, which made property more affordable, to last forever.
"Markets may be expecting low interest rates to last for some time. However, interest rates have a cyclical pattern and when Australia's economic circumstances require, they will rise," he said.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
The RBA chief, Glenn Stevens, believes the Australian dollar will fall because its current high value lacks support from economic fundamentals. He expects the terms of trade to decline, which could lead to a lower dollar in the future.
Following Glenn Stevens' comments, the Australian dollar fell, shedding more than a quarter of a cent from US95.75¢ to about US95.40¢, and continued to slide to US95.09¢ later in the day.
Glenn Stevens expressed an upbeat view on the global economy, noting a more relaxed tone among global policymakers. He mentioned that the US economy appears to be 'healing' and Chinese economic activity looks 'robust'.
Glenn Stevens believes that some rise in housing prices is part of the normal cyclical dynamic and improves the incentive to build. However, he advises lenders and borrowers to maintain strong lending standards and make decisions based on sensible assumptions about future returns.
John Laker, chairman of the Australia Prudential Regulation Authority, warned homeowners not to expect the current low interest rates, which make property more affordable, to last forever. He emphasized that interest rates have a cyclical pattern and will rise when economic circumstances require.
The RBA does not see recent house price rises as a major concern, viewing them as part of the normal cyclical dynamic. However, they caution against getting ahead of the market and stress the importance of maintaining strong lending standards.
While the article does not specify the exact impact, a lower Australian dollar could potentially improve trade competitiveness and support economic growth by making exports cheaper and more attractive to foreign buyers.
Glenn Stevens advises lenders and borrowers to exercise due care, maintain strong lending standards, and base their decisions on sensible assumptions about future returns to avoid potential financial pitfalls.