Microsoft boss quits before he's pushed
But with no clear successor to Mr Ballmer lined up and a jumble of businesses that will require the skills of a polymath to run, the company still faces huge obstacles to reclaiming its former glory.
While Microsoft in Mr Ballmer's reign as chief executive has yielded the spotlight to more glamorous companies like Apple, Google and Facebook, it still makes some of the biggest money-gushers in the technology business, including its Windows operating system for personal computers and Office applications like Word.
Its profit last quarter was nearly $US5 billion, compared with $US3.2 billion for Google and $US6.9 billion for Apple.
But the PC business is under siege by mobile devices like tablets, which Mr Ballmer famously underestimated.
"The walls are falling now," said George Colony, chief executive of Forrester Research, a research and advisory firm. "They may fall very quickly. There's not much time for the board."
Nonetheless, it has given itself a year to choose a successor, and Mr Ballmer, 57, will stay on until then.
Some analysts have suggested that Microsoft could use a seasoned turnaround artist in the mould of Lou Gerstner, who rescued IBM from irrelevance in the 1990s. Current and former Microsoft executives said the company would more likely turn to someone with a technology pedigree. Others believe Microsoft is not governable in its current form.
Ben Slivka, a 14-year employee of Microsoft who left in 1999, said the company should split into five independent companies he calls "Baby Bills" devoted to Windows client software, Office applications, servers, Xbox and the web.
"Give each of them [say] $US5 billion for a rainy day, but not much more," Mr Slivka wrote in a post on Facebook after the news of Mr Ballmer's retirement. "You want them to be hungry. Return most of the cash hoard to shareholders."
That Mr Ballmer announced his plans without a successor in place led to speculation among Microsoft executives that company co-founder and chairman Bill Gates might have been losing patience with his long-time friend, whom he first met when they were students at Harvard University in the 1970s.
Microsoft's disappointing stock price may have been a factor in his departure. Over Mr Ballmer's 13-year tenure at Microsoft, the stock has lost 36 per cent of its value, excluding dividends. Apple, meanwhile, was up nearly 2000 per cent over the same period. With the announcement of Mr Ballmer's departure, Microsoft's stock rose more than 7 per cent.
"Microsoft will have to go through a very hard and painful transition," said Joachim Kempin, a former senior Microsoft executive, who has written a book critical of the company under Mr Ballmer. "I'm not very confident the next guy will be able to immediately turn the ship around."
This year, ValueAct, a hedge fund known for behind-the-scenes shareholder activism, acquired a stake in Microsoft. Two years ago, the investor David Einhorn said Mr Ballmer was "stuck in the past" and called for him to go.
Mr Ballmer provided plenty of fodder for such critics with his dismissals of technologies that turned out to be game-changers. Soon after Steve Jobs introduced the iPhone, Mr Ballmer said there was "no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share".
Apple now has 13 per cent of the global smartphone market, with more than $US18 billion in revenue from iPhone during the last quarter - four times Microsoft's Windows sales during that period. Microsoft's mobile phone software runs on less than 4 per cent of devices shipped.
The company posted disappointing results in its most recent quarter as its Windows business showed signs of succumbing to a broader slump in personal computer sales. Microsoft also disclosed a $US900 million charge to cover its unsold inventory of Surface tablets, the company's answer to the iPad.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
Steve Ballmer announced he was leaving the top job at Microsoft to pave the way for a generational change and give the company an opportunity to reinvent itself for a world dominated by mobile devices and social media. For investors, the announcement increased short-term optimism (the stock rose more than 7% on the news) but also introduced uncertainty because there is no clear successor yet and the company faces significant strategic challenges.
Microsoft said it has given itself a year to choose a successor, and Ballmer, who was 57 at the time of the announcement, will stay on as chief executive until a replacement is named.
Microsoft still earns substantial profits from core businesses such as the Windows operating system and Office productivity applications—its profit in the most recent quarter was nearly US$5 billion—making them important cash generators for the company and considerations for investors.
Key risks highlighted in the article include the decline of the PC market as mobile devices and tablets gain share, Microsoft’s relatively small footprint in mobile phone software (under 4% of devices shipped at the time), disappointing quarterly results for Windows, and inventory problems such as a US$900 million charge for unsold Surface tablets.
The article notes Microsoft’s recent quarterly profit of nearly US$5 billion compared with Google’s US$3.2 billion and Apple’s US$6.9 billion. However, Apple was reported to have 13% of the global smartphone market and more than US$18 billion in iPhone revenue in the last quarter—about four times Microsoft’s Windows sales in that period—highlighting Apple’s stronger position in mobile, which is material for investors considering long-term growth.
Suggestions in the article included hiring a seasoned turnaround specialist in the mould of Lou Gerstner, recruiting a new leader with strong technology pedigree, splitting Microsoft into five independent “Baby Bills” focused on Windows client, Office, servers, Xbox and the web, and returning more cash to shareholders—ideas that signal a variety of structural and leadership options investors should monitor.
The article mentions that hedge fund ValueAct had acquired a stake in Microsoft and that investor David Einhorn had publicly criticized Ballmer in the past. Activist shareholders can push for changes in management, strategy, capital allocation or corporate structure, which could influence the company’s direction and be important for investors to follow.
Microsoft disclosed a US$900 million charge to cover unsold inventory of its Surface tablets, a sign of weaker-than-expected demand that had a direct financial impact on that quarter’s results and is a factor investors should consider when assessing product execution and near-term profitability.