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How the emu could follow the eagle and see our economy rise again

On Monday I am off to New York again but not for a haircut. I've paid over the odds for a few things in my life, but $428 for a trim a couple of months ago still takes my breath away.
By · 1 Jun 2013
By ·
1 Jun 2013
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On Monday I am off to New York again but not for a haircut. I've paid over the odds for a few things in my life, but $428 for a trim a couple of months ago still takes my breath away.

Nevertheless, I admire Warren-Tricomi Salon for its confidence in its service ... and its pricing policy. They got away with it.

America is such an incredible economy. The enthusiasm and inventiveness of the country just makes you feel good. We could do with a good dollop of it here in Australia.

Everyone has a choice in life and it seems to me that Americans choose to be happy and wealthy. And guess what? Huge numbers of them end up both.

But we are in the media and marketing business and as I prepare for the Big Apple and I'm thinking about the problems that confront newspapers around the world.

It was peak-hour traffic clogging our streets and other rising costs in the inner city that killed off our old evening newspapers, plus TV news. Readers will recall dad arriving home from work, after a quick one at the pub on the way, with the paper tucked under an arm.

In New York, the killer is not the traffic to get the newspaper truck through, but the cost of the truck itself. Or more precisely the wage deal that pays the drivers $180k a year.

"What a racket," Louise says, "I thought you could only earn that on the iron ore fields of Australia."

"Now I know why a haircut costs $428," Charlie says. "The price is being driven up by Teamster truck drivers."

But the serious part about America is that their advertising market is booming while ours in Australia has shown a lack of confidence and gone backwards. Yet our economy is good compared with elsewhere.

"Announcing an election that far out sure didn't help," Charlie says. "Particularly when it was announced by a minority government. Stupid. It just underlined a general feeling of instability."

But with their election tucked away, the advertising market in America, despite a relatively troubled economy, is set to grow 3 per cent while ours is down 1 per cent from last year. That's crazy!

What it does say, though, is that things are set to take off after September. We might even get close to a mini boom time.

I know that our media owners are expecting the good times to roll and I for one think they're right.

We can learn a lot from America, and one of them is believing in ourselves. The thing that is working in America for its newspapers is the digital business. While it's true here that a greater number of people are now reading this column online than in the newspaper itself, the big challenge is how the newspaper owners can transfer that desire for the information into revenue and profits. The answer is the "paywall" - the online barrier that the reader moves through, at a price, to access all the news that has been gathered by the paper.

America has got some great examples; the best of them is The New York Times. It now has around 600,000 paying digital subscribers and the revenue generated from its readers and subscribers overtook advertising income for the first time in 2012. And it's growing at 13 per cent. The grand old company had a good year last year, posting a profit of $US133 million compared with a loss of $US39.7 million in 2011.

Charlie has given me five pages on the American economy and he says it's OK. "The Eagle may rise again," he says.

And I am banking on the same happening here after the one day in September. You might be amazed to see how fast old man emu can move.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The article notes that high local wages and service costs help drive up consumer prices in the US. It gives the example of newspaper truck drivers earning about $180,000 a year and suggests those wage pressures feed through into higher service prices, such as very expensive haircuts in New York.

According to the article, the US advertising market is set to grow about 3% while Australia’s advertising market was down about 1% from the previous year. The piece highlights stronger advertiser confidence in America compared with a more cautious Australian market.

A paywall is an online barrier that requires readers to pay to access full digital content. The article explains newspapers are using paywalls to convert online readership into revenue and profits, turning reader demand for information into paying digital subscribers rather than relying only on advertising.

The article reports The New York Times has around 600,000 paying digital subscribers. It says revenue from readers and subscribers overtook advertising income for the first time in 2012 and that digital revenues are growing at about 13%. The company posted a profit of US$133 million last year compared with a US$39.7 million loss in 2011.

The author believes a recovery is possible. The article suggests things may take off after September, with media owners expecting improved conditions. It also notes election timing and political instability previously dampened advertising confidence in Australia.

The article says more people are now reading the columnist’s work online than in the printed paper. The key challenge highlighted is how newspaper owners can convert that increased online readership into revenue and profits—hence the focus on paywalls and subscription models.

The piece attributes the decline of old evening newspapers to changing work and transport patterns—peak-hour traffic and rising inner-city costs made distribution harder—and to competition from TV news. Those social and cost pressures reduced demand for printed evening editions.

The article suggests investors should watch how American media companies have embraced digital business models and paywalls to create reader revenue. It also highlights that stronger advertising markets and confidence can support media earnings, implying that digital subscription success and advertising trends are major drivers to monitor for media investments.