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Citigroup surge no pointer to real state of US economy

US banking giant Citigroup beat earnings expectations as net income surged 30 per cent in the first quarter. But beneath the banner results, it is grappling with a sluggish economy.
By · 17 Apr 2013
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17 Apr 2013
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US banking giant Citigroup beat earnings expectations as net income surged 30 per cent in the first quarter. But beneath the banner results, it is grappling with a sluggish economy.

The bank, which has been aggressively working to slash costs and slog through a glut of soured assets, reported a profit of $US3.8 billion ($3.64 billion) for the first quarter. Revenue rose 3 per cent to $US20.5 billion.

Citigroup's results were dampened by largely stagnant revenue growth in its consumer banking business and persistent difficulties in Asia and Latin America.

One major problem for Citi is that US consumers are still unwilling to take on new loans, even with interest rates hovering at near-record lows.

"I don't think we've got a real strong consumer driving the economy," said John Gerspach, the bank's chief financial officer. "We are seeing a certain amount of deleveraging."

Across the nation, banking analysts say, consumers are working to pay off bills and stay out of debt. Such a tepid appetite for loans underpinned Citigroup's results. While total loans inched up slightly in the first quarter to $US539 billion, the bulk of the growth stemmed from demand among corporate clients beyond the US. In North America, revenue in the global banking unit stagnated, falling 1 per cent to $US5.1 billion.

"The environment remains challenging and we are sure to be tested as we go through the year," Citigroup chief executive Michael Corbat said.

The earnings result underscores broader challenges buffeting the US banking industry. On Friday, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo reported declines in revenue, slowed in part by mortgage businesses that are beginning to sputter. The refinancing boom, fed by federal largesse that drove down interest rates and spurred a flurry of refinancings, is showing signs of petering out.

JPMorgan chief executive Jamie Dimon called loan growth "soft" for the quarter.

Other indicators of economic health have proved dispiriting as well. Retail sales in the US fell 0.4 per cent in March. Even though unemployment is falling, consumers remain unconvinced.

Part of the wariness arises from scepticism about the housing market. Even though prices have been rising recently, the improvements will not rouse consumers until they remain steadily high for a longer stretch, analysts say.

Citigroup has pinned some of its hope for future profitability on its vast international footprint, but some regions produced lacklustre returns. Revenue from consumer banking in Asia fell in the first quarter to $US2 billion, down 1 per cent.

The bank is struggling to navigate the shifting regulatory landscape in Asia. In South Korea, for example, officials placed a cap on the interest rates of a range of consumer loans.

One bright spot for Citigroup in the first quarter was the securities business, bolstered by strong gains in investment banking, fixed income and equities. Revenue in that unit surged 31 per cent to $US6.98 billion, while net income was $US2.3 billion, up 81 per cent from the period a year earlier. Much of the gains came from Citigroup's investment banking unit, which was buoyed by increases in debt and equity underwriting.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

Citigroup reported a first-quarter net income of US$3.8 billion (US$3.64 billion), a 30% increase year‑on‑year, with revenue up 3% to US$20.5 billion. The surge was driven largely by a very strong securities business—investment banking, fixed income and equities—which lifted that unit's revenue 31% to US$6.98 billion and its net income to US$2.3 billion (up 81%).

Not necessarily. The article notes that Citi’s banner results mask a sluggish economy: consumer lending remains weak, revenue growth in consumer banking is stagnant, and executives warned the environment is challenging. Citigroup CFO John Gerspach said consumers are deleveraging, and CEO Michael Corbat cautioned the bank will be tested through the year.

Consumers remain reluctant to take on new loans despite near‑record low rates. The article highlights widespread deleveraging—households paying down bills and avoiding debt—which kept loan demand tepid and weighed on consumer‑banking revenue in the quarter.

Total loans inched up slightly to US$539 billion in the first quarter. Most of the growth came from demand among corporate clients outside the US rather than from US consumer lending, and North America global banking revenue actually fell 1% to US$5.1 billion.

Citigroup's securities business was the standout. Revenue in that unit rose 31% to US$6.98 billion and net income jumped to US$2.3 billion (an 81% increase), helped by strong performance in investment banking and higher debt and equity underwriting activity.

The article points to several headwinds: a slowdown in mortgage and refinancing activity, declines in revenue reported by JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, weak loan growth (Jamie Dimon called it "soft"), falling retail sales in March, and cautious consumer behavior despite falling unemployment.

Citigroup’s consumer banking revenue in Asia fell to US$2 billion, down 1% in the quarter. The bank is also navigating shifting regulatory rules in the region—for example, South Korea capped interest rates on a range of consumer loans—which has constrained returns.

Management warned of a challenging environment and potential tests ahead. Key risks cited include tepid consumer loan demand, pressure in parts of Asia and Latin America, regulatory headwinds, and slowing mortgage/refinancing activity that is affecting revenue across the US banking industry.