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June Fed meeting still 'live'

27 Mar 2015 Betashares by David Bassanese Contrary to the general market reaction following the United States Federal Reserve policy meeting last week, we (BetaShares) still feel there’s a good chance that the Fed could raise rates as early as June.

Risk Returns

27 Mar 2015 By Michael McCarthy (chief market strategist, CMC Markets) by CMC Markets All eyes turn to the Middle East as conflict in Yemen stands as a stark reminder of the one sided nature of the geo-political risks to asset markets. Higher oil and gold prices, and lower share markets, are the inevitable result of the return of risk as the potential for armed conflict escalates.

Shares Slammed

26 Mar 2015 By Michael McCarthy (chief market strategist, CMC Markets) by CMC Markets Unfortunately timed data has kicked the Australian share market where it is technically vulnerable. After repeated failures by the index to break through the 6,000 level, local investors have seized on the negative overnight action and slammed the market, pushing the index under 5,900. Volatility is up, and every sector in the red, albeit on light and unconvincing volumes.

US good-news-is-bad-news theme gives a soft lead to markets this morning

25 Mar 2015 By Ric Spooner (Chief Market Analyst, CMC Markets) by CMC Markets The stock market will open this morning contemplating the good-news-is-bad-news theme as far as the US economy is concerned. A reasonable CPI read and very strong housing sales in the US during February have the market thinking about US interest rate increases. This led to a decline in US stock markets and is likely to flow through to a soft start to local trading this morning.

China’s unexpected manufacturing numbers spook traders

24 Mar 2015 By Betty Lam (Sales Trader, CMC Markets) by CMC Markets The local bourse oscillated in mild gains ahead of HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI numbers and trading volumes remained subdued as traders reserved their bets until after the fact.

Misleading Leads

24 Mar 2015 By Michael McCarthy (chief market strategist, CMC Markets) by CMC Markets After a night of weak trading in shares local futures markets are indicating falls at the opening for most Asia Pacific markets. However, USD weakness has once again boosted commodity prices and may see support for Australian stocks despite a higher AUD.

6,000 – Today’s the day

23 Mar 2015 By Ric Spooner (Chief Market Analyst, CMC Markets) by CMC Markets While there was little news to influence investor thinking in international markets on Friday, ongoing support as investors continue to adjust to last week’s FOMC meeting is driving stock markets higher. The potential for higher interest rates in the US now holds fewer fears for investors as they contemplate a scenario in which there are only marginal increases in rates over the next 12 months.

The Market Matters morning report

23 Mar 2015 Market Matters by Shawn Hickman Last week, stocks worldwide experienced their largest rally in nearly two years as the US implied strongly they were in no hurry to raise rates – see chart 1. Interest rates have never been so low in history ($2.8 trillion of assets in Europe with negative yield), driving equities higher as investors stampede into riskier investments in an attempt to receive some coveted yield.

Banks the key to today’s trading

20 Mar 2015 By Ric Spooner (Chief Market Analyst, CMC Markets) by Ric Spooner With the benefit of 24 hours hindsight, the strong reaction to yesterday’s FOMC meeting by many world markets looks very like a short term trading reaction.

The Fed to the Rescue

19 Mar 2015 By Michael McCarthy (chief market strategist, CMC Markets) by Michael McCarthy US Fed chair Janet Yellen played the perfect central bank game overnight, fine tuning the Fed’s stance, preparing the markets for higher interest rates and simultaneously weakening the US dollar and producing a significant rally in bonds, shares and commodities.
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