Intelligent Investor

Transpacifc grounds its fleet

Transpacific has grounded its entire fleet following a fatal accident. We applaud management for taking swift action and are sticking with Buy.
By · 20 Aug 2014
By ·
20 Aug 2014 · 3 min read
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Recommendation

Cleanaway Waste Management Limited - CWY
Buy
below 1.15
Hold
up to 1.50
Sell
above 1.50
Buy Hold Sell Meter
BUY at $0.93
Current price
$2.54 at 16:40 (19 April 2024)

Price at review
$0.93 at (20 August 2014)

Max Portfolio Weighting
4%

Business Risk
Low

Share Price Risk
Medium
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Transpacifc Industries has grounded its entire fleet following a fatal crash at the bottom of the South Eastern Freeway in Adelaide. It's not the first time there's been an accident at this spot and there have been calls for the government to do something about it. Heavy trucks lose braking power due to the steep entrance.

Our condolences go out to those affected by the accident and their families, and we commend management for taking decisive action to prevent further accidents. As analysts, however, we must examine the financial impact.

Investors in McAleese will be familiar with the repercussions such an accident can have for a trucking company. The cost of grounding your fleet can be large, but the bigger financial concerns are lost contracts and the wholesale changes needed to upgrade the fleet. In a business that relies on scale to earn decent returns on capital, losing revenue has a multiplied affect on the bottom line.

We've no idea what the financial ramifications of this accident will be. What we do know is that Transpacific's balance sheet remains in great shape and we're encouraged by management's decisive action to ground its fleet and help with investigations.

History may prove that the wisest decision now is to sit back and wait for more information, but in the stockmarket you get paid for accepting uncertainty. Given the 10% fall in the share price since Transpacific Industries: Result 2014 (Buy – $1.02) we're sticking with BUY.

Note: We're adding 1,000 shares to the model Income Portfolio and 1,500 to the Growth Portfolio at $0.94 per share for a total cost of $940 and $1,410, respectively.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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