Intelligent Investor

Sonic Healthcare

By · 21 Feb 2012
By ·
21 Feb 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

Sonic Healthcare Limited - SHL
Buy
below 9.00
Hold
up to 11.50
Sell
above 17.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
LONG TERM BUY at $11.23
Current price
$26.74 at 13:05 (25 April 2024)

Price at review
$11.23 at (21 February 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
5%

Business Risk
Medium-Low

Share Price Risk
Medium
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Sonic Healthcare’s first half result was solid, with no significant surprises. Revenue rose 9% to $1,642m, while net profit rose 6% to $143m. The currency again had a depressing affect on revenue, although to a lesser extent than in previous periods. An unchanged interim dividend of 24 cents was declared (estimated ex date 1 Mar), franked to 35%.

Most divisions did well, with Australian pathology showing market share gains and a recovery in margins over the previous period, which was beset by regulatory uncertainty. Management also reported strong revenue growth and margin expansion in Germany. Even the formerly troubled Australian radiology division reported a 6% increase in profit. Only the US business underperformed as weak employment and a hospital bankruptcy hit revenues and margins.

Table 1: Sonic Healthcare first half results
Half to 31 December 2011 2010 Change (%)
Revenues ($m) 1,642 1,513 9
EBITDA ($m) 294 265 10
Net profit ($m) 143 135 6
EPS (c) 36.5 34.6 5
DPS (c) 24.0 24.0 0
Franking (%) 35 28  

Managing director Colin Goldschmidt addressed several of our concerns from Global worries weigh on Sonic from 20 Dec 11 (Long Term Buy – $11.32). He poured cold water on suggestions US insurance companies might attempt to reduce payments following cuts to US Medicare funding. He was also confident that a move to a national system of healthcare funding in Germany would be ‘revenue neutral’ for the company.

Debt levels were a little higher than expected, mainly because Sonic spent $132m on acquisitions during the period, including 22 medical centres. Interest cover declined from 7.5 to 6.1 times as interest expense rose.

Sonic is on target to meet its profit guidance of growth in earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of 10-15% in 2012 (on a constant currency basis). The company’s defensive business remains an attractive one and, with the stock down slightly since 20 Dec 11, it remains a LONG TERM BUY.

The model Growth portfolio owns shares in Sonic Healthcare.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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