Intelligent Investor

Sirtex Medical

By · 16 Apr 2012
By ·
16 Apr 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

Sierra Rutile Holdings Limited - SRX
Buy
below 6.00
Hold
up to 12.00
Sell
above 12.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
SPEC BUY at $5.90
Current price
$0.13 at 16:35 (18 April 2024)

Price at review
$5.90 at (16 April 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
3%

Business Risk
Very High

Share Price Risk
Very High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Last week, liver cancer treatment company Sirtex reported third quarter dose sales rose 34%. That’s the largest ever increase in the number of quarterly doses sold. Importantly, dose sales in the US, which accounts for more than 60% of the company’s total, rose 47%. It’s clear that the SIR-Spheres technology is becoming increasingly accepted by the medical profession.

It bodes well for revenue growth in 2012 and beyond. A few years of this sort of growth and Sirtex’s profits will explode, even taking the expensive clinical trial program into account. At the very least it suggests the company shouldn’t have trouble financing its research activities.

It’s impressive news, but shareholders should remember that biotechs—even profitable ones—are more prone to upsets than other companies. Sirtex boasts that it has now had 31 consecutive quarters of sales growth, but that won’t always be the case.

The stock has jumped 17% since the first half results update (see 29 Feb 12 (Speculative Buy – $5.06)). It’s now close to the price at which we first recommended it in Sirtex enters remission on 8 Nov 10 (Speculative Buy – $5.90). The news confirms that the business momentum is strong and, for now, Sirtex remains a SPECULATIVE BUY.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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