Intelligent Investor

Sirtex Medical

By · 29 Feb 2012
By ·
29 Feb 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

Sierra Rutile Holdings Limited - SRX
Buy
below 6.00
Hold
up to 12.00
Sell
above 12.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
SPEC BUY at $5.06
Current price
$0.13 at 12:50 (19 April 2024)

Price at review
$5.06 at (29 February 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
3%

Business Risk
Very High

Share Price Risk
Very High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Liver cancer treatment company Sirtex Medical continues to report good growth in dose sales, which rose 16% during the first half to 2,698. Despite weakness in Europe, strong sales in the US— particularly in the second quarter—demonstrate excellent business momentum.

The higher Australian dollar restrained revenue growth, up 8% to $36.8m. Net profit rose 69% to $6.1m, although this figure is essentially fictional given the accounting policy change discussed on 29 Aug 11 (Speculative Buy – $4.95). Sirtex has historically only declared final dividends so no interim payment was declared and, given the expensive clinical research program, you shouldn’t necessarily expect dividends to continue.

Table 1: Sirtex first half results
Half-year to 31 December 2011 2010 Change (%)
Dose sales (units) 2,698 2,325 16
Revenues ($m) 36.8 34.0 8
Net profit ($m) 6.1 3.6 69
Free cash flow ($m) 0.6 3.5 (83)
EPS (c) 10.9 6.4 70
DPS (c) 0 0 n/a
Cash balance ($m) 39.7 41.4 (4)

As Sirtex capitalised $4.2m worth of expenses relating to its clinical programs in the half, perhaps the best statement in the accounts to focus on is the cash flow statement. Here the company generated operating cash flow of $5.7m in the half, but spent $5.1m on capital expenditure (‘purchase of plant and equipment’) and clinical research (‘internally generated intangible assets’).

Free cash flow, then, amounted to $0.6m. Indeed, free cash flow will be minimal for the next few years as funds are directed to Sirtex’s clinical research programs. The payment of the final dividend during the half saw the company’s cash balance fall to $39.7m.

The typically volatile stock is up 17% since 8 Dec 11 (Speculative Buy – $4.32). The growth in dose sales remains reassuring, although shareholders are foregoing strong underlying cash flow now for future potential, which may or may not be realised. That’s the risk with biotech companies, of course, but with everything on track so far, Sirtex remains a SPECULATIVE BUY

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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