Should you follow the smart money?

‘What the wise do in the beginning, warns Warren Buffett, ‘fools do in the end.’ With the S&P 500 up 148% from its low of 683 in March 2009 despite plenty of unresolved global economic risks, it’s much harder to find deeply discounted stocks and securities and many investors are wondering whether it’s time to get out of the market while the going’s good.One statistic often used as a contrarian indicator around key market turning points is the propensity of individual and institutional investors to buy and sell to each other. As you can see in the chart below, in...

‘What the wise do in the beginning, warns Warren Buffett, ‘fools do in the end.’ With the S&P 500 up 148% from its low of 683 in March 2009 despite plenty of unresolved global economic risks, it’s much harder to find deeply discounted stocks and securities and many investors are wondering whether it’s time to get out of the market while the going’s good.

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