Intelligent Investor

QBE Insurance Group

By · 5 Apr 2012
By ·
5 Apr 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

QBE Insurance Group Limited - QBE
Buy
below 13.00
Hold
up to 16.00
Sell
above 25.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
BUY at $14.09
Current price
$17.34 at 16:40 (19 April 2024)

Price at review
$14.09 at (05 April 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
7%

Business Risk
Medium-Low

Share Price Risk
Medium
All Prices are in AUD ($)

The details of the scaleback of QBE’s share purchase plan (SPP), announced today, are a good example of why value investors prefer share prices to fall in the short term. Had QBE’s share price not rebounded strongly over the past six weeks, it’s likely there would have been far fewer applications for the SPP.

As expected on 29 Mar 12 (Buy – $14.19), the scaleback has been severe. Subject to you owning at least 10 shares, QBE has generally decided to allot applicants 8.34% of the value of their shareholding. So, for example, if you had 1,000 shares on the record date of 27 February, you’ll be allocated 83 shares at $10.70, worth $888.10. You’ll be refunded any difference.

The allotment date has been pushed back to 11 April. If you want to know the actual number of shares you’ll get before receiving your notification, you can contact Link Market Services from that date on 1800 645 237. Bear in mind that, if you applied for multiple holdings under similar names, you may have been scaled back even more severely.

In other news, QBE held its annual general meeting yesterday. After the horror year that was 2011, the first quarter of 2012 has been much brighter. Large claims expense for the first quarter is expected to be $700m lower than last year, while rises in bond yields will also help. Premium rate increases are also exceeding management’s expectations.

This is all good news, and confirms management’s 13% insurance margin forecast could prove very conservative. The stock is down slightly since 29 Mar 12 (Buy – $14.19) and remains a BUY.

The model Growth and Income portfolios own shares in QBE Insurance.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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