Origin Energy

Origin Energy’s recent profit warning came as a surprise. It’s clear that two trends are having profound negative impacts on the previously stable energy retail business. For the first time in living memory, energy consumption is falling, placing pressure on revenue. It’s too early to say how sustainable that will be especially as it is accompanied by another surprise; a change in the attitude of regulators. It’s the latter that has largely driven Origin’s woes today. Energy retailers rely heavily on sensible regulation. Their input costs—raw power and the distribution of that power—are uncontrollable yet their prices are semi-regulated...

Origin Energy’s recent profit warning came as a surprise. It’s clear that two trends are having profound negative impacts on the previously stable energy retail business. For the first time in living memory, energy consumption is falling, placing pressure on revenue. It’s too early to say how sustainable that will be especially as it is accompanied by another surprise; a change in the attitude of regulators. It’s the latter that has largely driven Origin’s woes today.

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