Intelligent Investor

Oil Search

By · 17 Oct 2012
By ·
17 Oct 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

Oil Search Limited - OSH
Buy
below 6.50
Hold
up to 14.00
Sell
above 14.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
HOLD at $7.60
Current price
$4.04 at 16:36 (21 December 2021)

Price at review
$7.60 at (17 October 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
2%

Business Risk
Very High

Share Price Risk
Very High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Before it has completed one mega LNG project, Oil Search already has designs on another. The company recently announced a joint venture with French energy giant Total to explore for mega-sized gas deposits in the Gulf of Papua, offshore Papua New Guinea. The agreement covers five offshore licences and Total has bought equity interests ranging from 35% to 50% in each of them. Oil Search will keep operator status on all blocks.

Although the company has declined to announce a dollar value for the deal it was highly sought, with multiple parties reportedly bidding to partner in PNG. The terms should be favourable, including a substantial upfront payment as well as the return of back costs and a large funding commitment. Just as well, because testing wells in this location will be pricey. That an industry ‘supermajor’ has stumped up as a buyer lends credibility to Oil Search’s ambitions.

Those ambitions are vast; the company wants to expand the PNG LNG project and, eventually, build a second development. New gas discoveries make it all but certain a third processing facility will be added to PNG LNG and the company is adamant it has barely scratched the surface of PNG’s gas potential. Plans that sounded ludicrous five years ago aren't today. We’re increasing the prices in our recommendation guide to account for progress made so far. The share price is up 6% since 21 Aug 12 (Hold – $7.19) and we’re sticking with HOLD.  

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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