Nudge with Caution: Most Biases Exist for a Reason

On Facebook, Nassim Taleb recently posted a mathematics-heavy PDF about how many of our so-called psychological biases are actually just biases of the researchers. I can’t download the paper today, the recently edited version won’t open. And I can’t add anything to heavy mathematics anyway. But Taleb’s comments give an introduction to some thoughts that have been stewing away since a late night discussion with Steve Johnson a few years ago. Taleb writes: ‘(M)any psychological "biases" are errors by researchers missing a layer of uncertainty in the model. And the researchers want the government to "nudge" us to make...

On Facebook, Nassim Taleb recently posted a mathematics-heavy PDF about how many of our so-called psychological biases are actually just biases of the researchers. I can’t download the paper today, the recently edited version won’t open. And I can’t add anything to heavy mathematics anyway. But Taleb’s comments give an introduction to some thoughts that have been stewing away since a late night discussion with Steve Johnson a few years ago. Taleb writes:

‘(M)any psychological "biases" are errors by researchers missing a layer of uncertainty in the model. And the researchers want the government to "nudge" us to make a mistake.’

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