Intelligent Investor

Metcash

By · 17 Jul 2012
By ·
17 Jul 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

Metcash Limited - MTS
Buy
below 2.50
Hold
up to 4.00
Sell
above 4.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
HOLD at $3.20
Current price
$3.89 at 11:05 (19 April 2024)

Price at review
$3.20 at (17 July 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
3%

Business Risk
Medium-High

Share Price Risk
Medium-High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Metcash shareholders should by now have received documentation relating to the company’s Share Purchase Plan (SPP). This follows on from the recent $325m institutional placement. Retail shareholders are entitled to apply for up to $15,000 worth of shares at the lower of $3.335 or a 6.4% discount to the volume weighted average share price over the period 17-23 July.

Unless Metcash’s share price increases sharply over the next week, the second of these options is likely to apply. If the average share price over the period is $3.20, for example, then the SPP price will be $3.00.

Whilst it’s arguable whether the 6.4% discount is attractive enough, we don’t think it’s quite sufficient. You will be unable to sell your SPP shares until 1 August, so there’s some chance that the share price moves down significantly between the offer closing date of 23 July and the first trading date of 1 August.

If you’re willing to speculate on the price increasing after 23 July, though, then there’s the potential for short term profit. That’s not really our game and, despite the dilution shareholders will experience, we’re not keen to increase our stake in Metcash given recent events.

The stock is down 2% since Red flags waving for Metcash on 10 Jul 12 (Hold – $3.25) and the recommendation remains HOLD based on a portfolio weighting of 3%.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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