Intelligent Investor

Kingsrose goes to market. Again.

By · 19 Feb 2014
By ·
19 Feb 2014 · 3 min read
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Recommendation

Kingsrose Mining Limited - KRM
Buy
below 0.60
Hold
up to 1.50
Sell
above 1.50
Buy Hold Sell Meter
SPEC BUY at $0.37
Current price
$0.04 at 16:40 (24 April 2024)

Price at review
$0.37 at (19 February 2014)

Max Portfolio Weighting
2%

Business Risk
Very High

Share Price Risk
Very High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

The Talang Santo mine was intended to replace declining production from the Way Linggo mine. Although Way Linggo has declined as expected – it produced just 800 ounces last quarter from stockpiles – its replacement has not yet begun as it awaits approvals from Indonesian authorities. That delay has been costly for Kingsrose Mining.

With just $4.2m left in the bank, the company will issue 22m shares at 35c to raise an additional $8m via a share placement. Way Linggo needs additional work before the company decides whether to continue the mine or abandon it. Talang Santo needs to prepare for imminent production. Haulage roads have to be built, equipment bought and ground leveled. The money raised will go towards these ventures.  

Kingsrose could've taken on more debt but, with gold prices experiencing a small revival, has opted to raise equity instead. Institutions have been keen to provide cash to one of the lowest cost miners in the world. Low costs are a powerful advantage, but only if the company ever gets on with mining. Delays have compounded for a year now and the company will not meet its production targets this year. Our patience with the business is wearing thin.

A portfolio approach
Miners are subject to a wide range of outcomes that are impossible to predict so we recommend  buying a portfolio of gold miners rather than sticking to one. For our ideas in the gold sector, we recommend reading AU, check out this gold portfolio. We recommend an exposure of 5% across the sector and no more than 2% in a single miner. 

The Talang Santo mine, however, is a prize worth waiting for. Production rates of between 40,000-50,000 ounces of gold should be possible for years, generating operating profits of $28-$35m a year from this single mine. Kingsrose has more than a dozen sites with just as much potential. With a market capitalisation of just $125m, the company is not priced for production at Talang Santo, let alone any blue sky.  It remains part of the suggested portfolio outlined in AU, check out this gold portfolio (Speculative Buy - $0.40). The share price is up 5% since Gold portfolio takes a bath (Speculative Buy - $0.355) and, despite lowering the prices in our recommendation guide to account for the delays and share dilution, Kingsrose remains a SPECULATIVE BUY.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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