Intelligent Investor

IAG: Interim result 2016

IAG didn't have a great half due to slow growth and poor investment performance.
By · 17 Feb 2016
By ·
17 Feb 2016 · 3 min read
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Recommendation

Insurance Australia Group Limited - IAG
Buy
below 4.50
Hold
up to 7.50
Sell
above 7.50
Buy Hold Sell Meter
HOLD at $5.10
Current price
$6.35 at 16:35 (19 April 2024)

Price at review
$5.10 at (17 February 2016)

Max Portfolio Weighting
6%

Business Risk
Medium-High

Share Price Risk
Medium-High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Insurance Australia Group (IAG) has posted a lousy interim result following what management described as 'the most competitive conditions in almost four decades'. Net profit fell 20% to $466m and gross written premium (GWP) – an insurer's measure of revenue – was down slightly to $5.5bn.

The Australian Consumer division, IAG's largest, achieved 2% growth in GWP and improved profitability, with an underlying insurance margin on 15.5% (up from 14% in 2015), with fewer natural peril claims than expected.

'We are pleased with the performance of our consumer businesses where we have been able to broadly maintain market share with limited movement on price – demonstrating the strength and resilience of our franchises' said chief executive Peter Harmer.

Unfortunately, this positive result was offset by a marked decline in the Business division, where GWP fell 6.3% and the underlying margin unchanged at a lacklustre 10.7% 'with synergies from the Wesfarmers integration partially offsetting pressures from the market environment'.

IAG's New Zealand business continued to deliver strong profitability, with an underlying margin of 18.4% (up from 15.9%). Unfortunately, premium growth in personal lines was more than offset by a decline in commercial business, so GWP fell 4%.

IAG's $15bn investment portfolio took a battering too, with investment income falling 59% to $174m due to a declining sharemarket during the period and lower yields on the company's fixed-interest investments. Until interest rates start to rise, low investment returns are likely to be the norm.  

Management expects GWP to be flat in 2016 with the insurance margin 'at the lower end' of 14–16%. Though this factors in a two percentage point benefit from the recent deal with Berkshire Hathaway, it is still an improvement on the 10.7% achieved last year, which was depressed due to a $350m blow out in natural disaster costs.

Despite growing competition, overall return on equity came in at a still respectable 14.7% and we continue to recommend you HOLD.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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