Intelligent Investor

Hotel Property Investments: Interim result 2016

The mining downturn hitting Queensland hasn't affected the value of HPI's pubs
By · 26 Feb 2016
By ·
26 Feb 2016 · 3 min read
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Recommendation

Hotel Property Investments - HPI
Buy
below 2.20
Hold
up to 3.00
Sell
above 3.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
HOLD at $2.55
Current price
$3.18 at 16:40 (18 April 2024)

Price at review
$2.55 at (26 February 2016)

Max Portfolio Weighting
4%

Business Risk
Medium

Share Price Risk
Medium
All Prices are in AUD ($)

In Hotel Property Investments: Result 2015 we noted that 'despite most of its properties being located in Queensland, which is still suffering from the mining downturn, we wouldn't be surprised if capitalisation rates fell given the competition for pubs, particularly those like HPI's which are leased to subsidiaries of Woolworths and Wesfarmers'.

Table 1: HPI interim result 2016
6 months to 31 Dec20162015 /(—) (%)
Rental Income ($m)222010%
Borrowing exp. ($m)55-
Distrib. Profit ($m)141217%
Distribution (cps) 9.0* 7.914%
Gearing (%)**41.943.4-4%
NTA per share ($)2.181.9611%
*Unfranked, ex date already past
**Gearing = net debt/(total tangible assets - cash)

This is precisely what happened in the six months to 31 Dec 15, with the average capitalisation rate for this pub owner falling from 7.42% to 7.28%.

The major cause of this reduction was the 15 Queensland properties that were independently valued in the half. Their capitalisation rates declined on average by 0.41%.

HPI's lower average capitalisation rate resulted in a $16m rise in the value of its property portfolio which, helped by the net addition of one pub compared to the prior corresponding period, is now valued at $580m. This contributed to HPI's net tangible assets (NTA) per share rising 11%, from $1.96 to $2.18, over the past year.

HPI is still working on obtaining an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL). If HPI is successful in this regard, this will allow it to internalise management and reduce its costs.

HPI shares are steady since Hotel Property Investments: Result 2015 (Hold — $2.55). Offering an unfranked distribution yield of 7.1%, we continue to recommend you HOLD.

Note: The Intelligent Investor Equity Income portfolio owns shares in Hotel Property Investments. You can find out about investing directly in Intelligent Investor and InvestSMART portfolios by clicking here.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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