Intelligent Investor

FSA Group: Interim result 2019

This debt restructuring business has reported a good six months of profit growth despite a strong economy reducing clients.
By · 28 Feb 2019
By ·
28 Feb 2019 · 4 min read
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Recommendation

FSA Group Limited - FSA
Buy
below 1.30
Hold
up to 2.20
Sell
above 2.20
Buy Hold Sell Meter
SPEC BUY at $1.07
Current price
$0.94 at 16:40 (18 April 2024)

Price at review
$1.07 at (28 February 2019)

Max Portfolio Weighting
3%

Business Risk
High

Share Price Risk
Very High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

It seems the Australian economy might be regaining its strength. The number of new clients for FSA Group's counter-cyclical debt agreement division fell 10% in the six months to December, which implies fewer people in financial distress nationwide. The decline in clients, however, was ahead of a 16% decline for the overall market and suggests the company increased its already dominant market share. We're glad to see the turnaround as the company had lost market share in debt agreements over the past few years.

This was the first reporting period under a new accounting standard for the debt agreement business (AASB 15, for those looking for a little bedtime reading). The new standard aligns revenue recognition with the collection of cash, whereas previously there was a material mismatch. Revenue for the division rose 7% to $19.2m, while pre-tax profits rose 59% under the new standard and after re-stating last year's result to also reflect it. Total revenue increased 9% to $35.9m and net profit was up 40% to $7.7m for the half.

Amendments to the Bankruptcy Act, which take effect in June, will limit the time to repay a debt agreement to three years. Management said this could mean a reduction in clients for the Debt Agreement business because a three-year term may not allow for an acceptable rate of return to some creditors. FSA, however, offers many different services to people in financial distress, such as personal insolvency agreements and bankruptcy. 'We do not see these amendments as having a material impact on the number of clients we are able to assist or the long-term financial performance of FSA', said management.

The company's consumer lending division also had a good six months, with total loan pools up 13% to $428m. The division achieved a pre-tax profit of $5.3m, up 20%. Management is on track to reach its five-year goal of $500m in loan pools by June 2020. 

The stock trades on a price-earnings ratio of 10 and a fully-franked dividend yield of 5.5%. That looks cheap for a company with a dominant market share, good management, high margins and returns on capital, and decent growth prospects. We're sticking with SPECULATIVE BUY.

Note: With several substantial shareholders, FSA Group's stock is highly illiquid with a large spread between bid and offer prices. To ensure you aren't caught overpaying, it's important that your buy orders have a limit price and are not made 'At Market'.

Disclosure: The author owns shares in FSA Group.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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