Intelligent Investor

Elders Hybrids

By · 25 Apr 2012
By ·
25 Apr 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

CNV PREF 3-BBSW+2.50% PERP SUB NON-CUM STP T-06-11 - ELDPA
Current price
$108.05 at 16:40 (17 October 2017)

Price at review
$40.00 at (25 April 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
2%

Business Risk
Very High

Share Price Risk
Very High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Hot on the heels of our recent update, Elders announced the conditional sale of ‘the large majority of its pulpwood forestry assets in the Albany, Bunbury and Green Triangle regions to investment funds managed by Global Forest Partners.’ The price is reportedly around book value, but more importantly the company expects to receive over $45m in installments that will help reduce Elders’ onerous debt levels.

Recommendation Guide
Hold Up to $60
Reassess Below $30

Chief executive Malcolm Jackman has provided a steady hand, patiently selling assets while avoiding a firesale. While each asset sale reduces the range of possible outcomes for the Elders Hybrid securities, Elders’ financial position remains precarious. Resuming distribution payments on the hybrid securities remains way off at best.

If Jackman can manufacture a small miracle then hybrid owners stand to do very well from here. But given the risk of a total wipeout due to Elders’ debt levels, we’re hoping for the best while expecting the worst. The security price has increased 7% since 17 Apr 12 (Hold – $37.25) and we’re sticking with HOLD.

Note: The model Growth portfolio owns Elders Hybrids.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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