Intelligent Investor

Crowe Horwath replaces CEO

By · 4 Sep 2013
By ·
4 Sep 2013 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

Crowe Horwath Australasia Ltd - CRH
Buy
below 0.30
Hold
up to 0.60
Sell
above 0.60
Buy Hold Sell Meter
SELL at $0.62
Current price
$0.50 at 16:20 (09 January 2015)

Price at review
$0.62 at (04 September 2013)

Business Risk
High

Share Price Risk
High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

John Lombard has paid the price for poor performance over the past couple of years as chief executive of Crowe Horwath Australasia, the rebadged WHK Group, being replaced with immediate effect by chief financial officer Chirs Price. Price, however, will only serve as Acting CEO, while the board looks for a permanent solution. Price has been with the company for 6 years following ‘an extensive career in chartered accounting and manufacturing’.

Year to end June 2013 2012 /(–)
(%)
Table 1: Crowe Horwath 2013 result
Revenue ($m) 406 413 (2)
Norm. EBITA ($m) 26.5 36.6 (28)
Net profit ($m) 7.0 10.2 (31)
Norm. EPS (c) 4.5 7.1 (37)
PER 14 9 n/a
DPS (c) 5.0 7.0 (29)
Div. yield 8.1 11.3 n/a
Franking (%) 100 100 n/a

The announcement follows the company’s full-year results a couple of weeks ago, which showed normalised earnings before interest, tax and amortisation of $26.5m, in line with April’s profit warning (see 29 Apr 13 (Hold – $0.90)). A fully franked final dividend of 2.0 cents was declared (ex date 30 Sep), bringing the full-year total to 5.0 cents, down from 7.0 cents last year.

Underlying earnings per share came in at the 4.5 cents we outlined when we downgraded to Sell in WHK takes the ostrich approach on 8 May 13 (Sell – $0.68) (with lower amortisation offsetting a higher than anticipated tax rate). That puts the stock on a price-earnings ratio of about 14, which looks like plenty given the problems the company faces.

Those problems don’t look like going away, with the recent announcements both confirming that subdued activity levels continue among small and medium-sized companies. Where there’s not enough work to go around, we suspect Crowe Horwath has a hard time competing for lucrative advisory work against the big accounting firms, and we suspect that a lower level of work is the new normal.

Now the company must face these problems with an Acting CEO. The one blessing is that this may encourage SFG Australia to come back with another bid. If it returns, however, it’s likely to do so with a much lower price and we wouldn’t recommend holding out for this eventuality. The stock is down 9% since 8 May. SELL.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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