Intelligent Investor

Commonwealth Bank

By · 17 May 2012
By ·
17 May 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

Commonwealth Bank of Australia - CBA
Buy
below 45.00
Hold
up to 70.00
Sell
above 70.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
HOLD at $50.72
Current price
$111.86 at 16:40 (19 April 2024)

Price at review
$50.72 at (17 May 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
5%

Business Risk
Low

Share Price Risk
Medium
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Commonwealth Bank has announced an update for the third quarter ending 31 March (the bank has a 30 June year end). Unaudited cash earnings have increased slightly from $1.70bn in the same period last year, to $1.75bn. While we’re unable to quantify the various components, it’s a respectable achievement given the current pressure on profit margins due to higher funding costs and anaemic lending growth.

While chief executive Ian Narev is watering down expectations, 2012 may yet produce another year of record profits and higher dividends. That these results are occurring in such a weak lending environment shows Australia’s big four banks still have some monopolistic pricing power, which is one reason we prefer the four major banks to the statistically cheaper regional banks.

We recommend keeping banks to 10% of a well-diversified portfolio, which includes income securities issued by the banks. Commonwealth Bank’s share price has barely budged since Comm Bank: Boom ends quietly, for now from 17 Feb 12 (Hold – $50.21), and we’re sticking with HOLD.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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