Intelligent Investor

Brickworks: Interim result 2018

Boom times are usually the right time to sell a cyclical business. Yet Brickworks is different.
By · 23 Mar 2018
By ·
23 Mar 2018 · 6 min read
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Recommendation

Brickworks Limited - BKW
Buy
below 14.00
Hold
up to 20.00
Sell
above 20.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
HOLD at $15.61
Current price
$27.08 at 16:40 (24 April 2024)

Price at review
$15.61 at (23 March 2018)

Max Portfolio Weighting
6%

Business Risk
Low

Share Price Risk
Medium-Low
All Prices are in AUD ($)

For the last decade or so Brickworks' building materials business – comprising bricks, masonry, timber and cement products – dragged on the company. Profits were low, margins were miserly and returns on capital woeful. What a difference a boom makes. 

Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) from the buildings products business has almost tripled over the past five years to $39m and return on assets has doubled to a respectable 12%.

We think this is a well-managed business of average quality and the stunning performance is clearly linked to a booming construction market.

Key Points

  • Building materials booming

  • Property business keeps growing

  • Not tempted to sell

Keeps going

That boom has endured longer than most thought possible, especially in NSW and Victoria where bricks are now precious and bricklayers have never made so much money. Brickworks again raised brick prices over the half-year and will do so again later this year to offset soaring energy costs.

The business is fortunate that higher energy costs have coincided with a boom. At any other time, raising prices would be unthinkable. A boom often makes the impossible ordinary.

Table 1: BKW HY18 result
Six months to Jan 2018 2017 /(–)
(%) 
Building products EBIT ($m) 39.3 33.3 18
Property EBIT ($) 49.5 67.2 (26)
Investments EBIT ($m) 60.9 47.6 28
Total EBIT 142.8 142.2 nil
Underlying NPAT 115.6
111.2  
4
Interim div. 18c, fully franked, up 6%
ex date 10 Apr 

To be fair to the business, it has exploited conditions cleverly by recognising that bricks are less like other building materials and more like fashion accessories.

Brickworks has built design studios in capital cities to host architects and developers and showcase new designs and, like Zara and other fast fashion merchants, the business quickly turns around new designs and borrows trends from around the world. This is one reason bricks are again fashionable cladding.

Despite the bumper profit, though, building materials is arguably the least valuable part of the business.

Developing property

As we have argued previously, Brickworks' property business is underappreciated and of excellent quality, generating a growing stream of annuity income by developing exhausted quarries into commercial property.

The property trust generated $50m of EBIT, 26% lower than last year and a deceptive figure. Breaking that number apart we can see that rental income rose 20% to $11m and revaluations contributed $7m to earnings.

Development profits are realised when new assets are completed and, along with land sales, are lumpy and drive volatility in total property earnings.

Brickworks realised $34m in development profits over the period compared to $3m last year. Don't read too much into that.

With a bank of surplus property yet to be developed, income from the property business should grow for years to come. Brickworks' share of the property trust is now worth $511m, up 6% from last year.

The final – and most controversial – leg of the asset base is a 42.7% holding in Washington H Soul Pattinson, a listed investment group with which Brickworks shares board members and a cross-shareholding.

We agree that this holding makes little sense inside Brickworks but it has delivered stellar returns over decades and we don't see a case to change it. Successful businesses often don't follow the rules and we are comfortable with the status quo.

Equity accounting rules mean that Brickworks realised $61m in profit from its holding but collected $33m in cash flow as dividends. An increase in both figures came from key holding New Hope Corporation, a coal producer that generated big gains in profit thanks to a recovery in coal prices.

Time to sell?

Booms are generally a good time to offload cyclical businesses but Brickworks is different. For one, it doesn't attract a boom-time valuation. A price-earnings ratio of 13 doesn't sound high but this is not the way to value this business. As we noted in Deconstructing Brickworks, we need to use a sum of parts approach, and this suggests there is still value on the table.

Brickworks isn't a typical building materials business either. With a steadily growing property business and a large investment portfolio, this is hardly a cyclical pig. The downturn didn't scare us away from the business and the boom won't rush us to the exits, at least not yet. HOLD.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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