Intelligent Investor

AWE

By · 6 Mar 2012
By ·
6 Mar 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

AWE Limited - AWE
Buy
below 1.80
Hold
up to 2.70
Sell
above 2.70
Buy Hold Sell Meter
SPEC BUY at $1.78
Current price
$0.94 at 16:36 (09 May 2018)

Price at review
$1.78 at (06 March 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
2%

Business Risk
High

Share Price Risk
High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Despite production for the half year falling 7% to 2.9m barrels of oil equivalent (mmboe), higher oil prices fuelled a 17% jump in AWE’s revenue to $158m. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and exploration leapt 61% to $103m. Net profit after tax was $30m, a big turnaround from last year’s $50m loss.

Table 1: AWE's half-year results
Half-year ending 31 December 2011 2010 Change (%)
EBITDAX ($m) 103.2 64.2 61
NPAT ($m) 29.7 (49.8) n/a
EPS (cents) 5.6 (22.5) n/a
Operating cashflow ($m) 75.4 40.7 85
Production (mmboe) 2.9 3.1 (7)

Stripping away the gains on asset sales—AWE sold shares it held in Buru Energy—resulted in an underlying profit of $19.5m. Net operating cashflow, which rose 85% to $75m contributed to a strong closing net cash balance of $167m. After a series of poor results triggered by exploration write offs and asset impairments, a clean, profitable performance was pleasing. AWE even paid a special, fully franked dividend of 5 cents per share in January after selling 11.25% of BassGas for $80m.

The company can now focus on a busy development schedule ahead. Work is being carried out at BassGas and the newly acquired Ande Ande Lumut oilfield in Indonesia that should lift output in the future. In the Perth Basin, AWE has finally been granted approval to frack deep buried shales for gas. This is a pivotal project for the company that may unleash massive quantities of gas into the lucrative Western Australia market. Core samples taken last year indicate underground rocks should respond well to fracking, but testing is still vital to determine if gas production is commercial.

AWE’s share price is starting to reflect the better performance.  After climbing 16% since AWE: Shopping for barrels on 31 Jan 12 (Speculative Buy - $1.54), the company is on the brink of a downgrade. For now, it remains a SPECULATIVE BUY.

The model Growth portfolio owns shares in AWE.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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