AWE downgraded

AWE has been on our buy list for years and, for years, we've maintained a base case valuation of about $1.80 per share. It's been a rocky road but AWE has finally hit that target. 

We can't explain why the share price has risen so swiftly or suddenly. One catalyst may be the takeover of fellow producer Aurora Oil and Gas. Aurora and AWE share stakes in the same shale field, Sugarloaf in the Eagle Ford Shale, and Aurora's valuation suggests a higher price for AWE's stake. We had estimated that asset to be worth about 20 cents per share, but the takeover suggests a value of over 50cps, a change now reflected in the share price. We've also previously argued that gas prices on the east coast would rise (see Slowly begins the gas boom). That view is now the consensus and gas assets are attracting higher valuations. Finally, the part sale of the Ande Ande Lamut oil field to Santos has given credibility, and a valuation anchor, to the new development. All three factors have contributed to the market's rediscovery of AWE.

{{content.question}}

{{ twilioFailed ? 'SMS Code Failed to Send…' : 'Enter your SMS code' }}

A text message with your verification code was just sent to {{user.DayPhone}}

We cannot send you a code via SMS to {{user.DayPhone}}

Hi {{ user.FirstName }}, please provide your mobile number.

{{ content.trialHeading.replace('{0}', user.FirstName) }}

We'll send you a text message with a verification code to start your free trial.

Log in

{{ content.upgradeHeading.replace('{0}', user.FirstName) }}

The email address you entered is registered with InvestSMART.

Login or to reset your password, select Forgotten password

Thank you

We have sent you an email with the details of your registration.

Email is required.
Email must be a valid email.
Password is required.
First name is required.
Last name is required.
Mobile phone number is required.
Mobile phone number is invalid.
You must accept the terms and conditions.

Already an InvestSMART member? Log in

SMS code cannot be sent due to: {{ twilioStatus }}

Please select one of the options below:

OR

Looks you are already a member. Please enter your password to proceed

You have entered an incorrect email or password

Email is required.
Email must be a valid email.
Password is required.

Please untick this box when using a public or shared device

Not a member? Sign up

Forgotten password? Click here

Your membership to InvestSMART Group recently failed to renew.


Please make sure your payment details are up to date to continue your membership.


Having trouble renewing?

Please contact Member Services on support@investsmart.com.au or 1300 880 160

You've recently updated your payment details.

It may take a few minutes to update your subscription details, during this time you will not be able to view locked content.


If you are still having trouble viewing content after 10 minutes, try logging out of your account and logging back in.


Still having trouble viewing content?

Please contact Member Services on support@investsmart.com.au or 1300 880 160

{{ upgradeCTAText }}

Updating information

Please wait ...

Trial

{{ productPrice }} / day
( GST included )
Price $0
Discount -{{productDiscount}}
GST {{productGST}}
TOTAL   (inc. GST) {{productPrice}}
  • Mastercard
  • Visa

Please click on the ACTIVATE button to finalise your membership

You have entered an incorrect email or password

Email is required.
Email must be a valid email.
Password is required.

Please untick this box when using a public or shared device

Not a member? Sign up

Forgotten password? Click here

Unsuccessful registration

Registration for this event is available only to members. View our payment options for more information.

{{eventFunction.Name}}
{{eventFunction.EventTypeName}}
{{eventFunction.StartDate}}
{{eventFunction.EventTimings}}
{{eventFunction.VenueName}}
{{ t.Cost === 0 ? "FREE" : "$" + t.Cost.toFixed(2) }}

Related Articles