Intelligent Investor

ASX downgraded to Hold

Recent market volatility has helped volumes at ASX Ltd.
By · 7 Jul 2016
By ·
7 Jul 2016 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

ASX Limited - ASX
Buy
below 45.00
Hold
up to 65.00
Sell
above 65.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
HOLD at $47.05
Current price
$63.99 at 16:40 (24 April 2024)

Price at review
$47.05 at (07 July 2016)

Max Portfolio Weighting
8%

Business Risk
Medium-Low

Share Price Risk
Medium
All Prices are in AUD ($)

The recent volatility in financial markets doesn't seem to have hurt ASX Ltd. The average value of shares traded on the sharemarket was up 5% in June, compared to last year, and 8% in 2016 financial year. Derivative volumes were up 17% in June and 8% for the year. There's also good news for the ASX's new business clearing over-the-counter (‘OTC') derivatives, which handled $645bn in the year, compared to $102m in 2015.

The share price has risen 14% since ASX to face clearing competition – maybe on 30 Mar 16 (Buy – $41.14) and is 57% ahead of our original upgrade, back in 2012, giving a total return of about 80% including dividends. It's also now comfortably past our $45 Buy price. The stock is now on a price-earnings ratio of 21.5 and a fully franked dividend yield of 4.2%, based the $2.18 of earnings per share expected for 2016 and the anticipated payout of $1.96. That's attractive, but we'd like to see it a bit cheaper to Buy, so we're downgrading to Hold. We're nudging up our Sell price, however, to $65. HOLD.

Note: The Intelligent Investor Equity Income and Growth portfolios own shares in ASX. You can find out about investing directly in Intelligent Investor and InvestSMART portfolios by clicking here.

Disclosure: The author owns shares in ASX.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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