Intelligent Investor

Abacus Property Group

By · 9 Mar 2012
By ·
9 Mar 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

Abacus Property Group - ABP
Buy
below 2.00
Hold
up to 2.50
Sell
above 2.50
Buy Hold Sell Meter
LONG TERM BUY at $1.95
Current price
$1.20 at 16:40 (10 August 2023)

Price at review
$1.95 at (09 March 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
3%

Business Risk
High

Share Price Risk
High
All Prices are in AUD ($)

Abacus Property Group has announced its interim result. Revenue was down 28% to $133m, a fall that reflected profits from prior asset sales rather than any current weakness. Net profit also fell 14% to $40m. Earnings per security fell 18% to 10.4 cents, partly due to the increase in securities on issue following the recent merger discussed in Abacus and Storage Fund to merge from 18 Jan 12 (Long Term Buy – $1.90). The interim distribution was held flat at 8.25 cents, with 16.5 cents expected to be paid for the full year, producing a forecast yield of 8.5%.

Table 1: Abacus first half results
Half-year to 31 December 2011 2010 Change (%)
Revenue ($m) 133 185 -28
Net profit ($m) 40 46 -14
EPS (cents) 10.4 12.6 -18
DPS (cents) 8.25 8.25 0
NTA ($) 2.43 2.83 -16^  
^Fall primarily related to adoption of AASB10 rather than falling asset values. 

Though profits from Abacus’s developments are lumpy, recurring revenue now comprises 80% of the distribution, up from 73% in 2010. That figure will increase as securityholders recently approved Abacus’s merger with its Storage Fund. Although gearing (measured by debt-to-assets) will increase to 31%, it’s still well below covenant limits.

While property prices remain stubbornly low, Abacus remains focused on buying undervalued properties and improving them for resale. The forecast yield of 8.5% provides handy compensation and, in time, increases in the value of its property portfolio should narrow the gap between the security price and net tangible assets per security of $2.43. LONG TERM BUY.

Note: Due to the recent merger Abacus will trade on a deferred settlement basis under the code ‘ABPDC’ until 14 Mar 12 before reverting to its original code ‘ABP’.

Note: The Growth and Income portfolios own shares in Abacus Property Group.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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