PUNTING SPECTATOR: Lions and Sharks

The Doctor is happy to have the AFL back after last week's tribute game and he's also keen on a few in the NRL. And you can't miss his early Eurovision song contest mail.

They say that a week’s a long time in football. Well, let me tell you a fortnight is a lifetime. While the AFL Tribute game was entertaining to a point and the footy was absolute quality, the passion on display was a bit of a shocker, so thank gawd the real stuff is back on this week.

And it looks a cracker of a round too, with a couple of bets for those with the shakes. Here are the odds, this week from Betstar. As always, prices are subject to change.


TeamPrice
Hawthorn
1.41
Port Adelaide
3.05
Richmond
5.00
Geelong
1.19
Nth Melbourne
1.25
West Coast
2.85
Carlton
2.25
Brisbane
1.68
Adelaide
1.11
Melbourne
7.50
Sydney
1.11
Essendon
7.00
Fremantle
2.08
Western Bulldogs
1.80

The much improved Carlton take on Brisbane at the Dome on Saturday night and I reckon the Lions are morals. Put in take out, it’s as simple as that. They’ve already shortened from $1.90 into $1.68 but I still think that looks value. Load up, punters.

The other game worth an interest is the Hawthorn v Port Adelaide game down in Tassie on Saturday afternoon and it looks a beauty. Port Adelaide is a very good team, and they play well at Aurora Stadium. The 16 point start for the Power is handy in what may be a tight, low-scoring game. Take the line, ladies and gentlemen, and you could do worse than have a speculation on Port at better than $3.00.

There doesn’t look to be too much value in the other games, with four very short favourites and they all look absolute certainties.

I spoke last week about that important world event the Eurovision song contest and like every elite competition in the world, it is already surrounded in controversy. The French government is up in arms because the lyrics of their entry are almost entirely in English. For the cynics amongst you who believe the credibility of this event has been compromised, rest assured it’s intact since the Irish have declared that their official entry this year will be performed by a puppet called Dustin the Turkey. One other thing that puzzles me is that $67 chance Israel will be fronting up again this year in the Eurovision. I must have missed them shifting over to Europe, I suppose we’ll just have to wait for the International Court of Justice in The Hague sort that one out. My early mail is for Russia but I’ll fill you in next week.

Now to the NRL. Here are the prices.


TeamPrice
Cronulla
1.50
Brisbane
2.70
St George Illawarra
1.51
Melbourne
2.65
Manly Sea Eagles
1.20
Nth Queensland
4.70
Penrith
1.67
NZ Warriors
2.30
Newcastle
2.50
Wests Tigers
1.57
Canberra
1.57
South Sydney
2.45



After last week's results the bookies look down at out, however, they’re a little bit like the maniac in a horror film – you think they’re dead but they always pick themselves up for one last crack at you.

Everybody knows that Brisbane struggle each year when the State of Origin comes around, and surely Cronulla will hand out a nice old hiding to the Broncos on Saturday night. Brisbane were disgraceful against Manly last week, and have lost more players due to Origin, and the –6 that Cronulla have to concede is at least 4 points light in my opinion. The Sharks may have fallen over the line against the Cowboys, but a repeat of a four-try first half last week will put paid to Brisbane’s chances.

Most of the West Tigers spend a lot of time in the casualty ward of the local hospital, but this week they nearly have a full squad to choose from. They have a shocking two year period with injuries, but with Benji Marshall AND Robbie Farrah back in the side this week, and with Newcastle knocked about by Origin call ups, there is some easy cash to be made by backing the Tigers. The Tigers are currently running at –4 ½ points start – it isn’t enough.

Have a winning weekend, and hey, let’s be careful out there.

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