Intelligent Investor

Don't pay twice for outstanding management

Often investors pay twice for management without even knowing it. Nathan Bell explains.
By · 21 Oct 2011
By ·
21 Oct 2011
Upsell Banner

At Intelligent Investor, we spend countless hours debating what makes for a stellar management team. Do they act in the best interest of shareholders? Do they need to own a large stake in the company? Are they honest? Do they understand the key economics of the business? What's their attitude towards debt? These are just some of questions we ask.

But, perhaps, what's most surprising is how the answers effect our valuations. Intuitively you might assume that better quality management should yield higher prices. Yes and no. I'll explain with a simple example.

Imagine two identical companies. One, Company 'A', has the 'All Blacks' of management running the show and the other, Company 'B', is stuck with the 'Namibia's First XV'. Company 'A' unsurprisingly is able to generate much higher profit margins (and profits) (see Table).

But in estimating the value of each business, be aware you might be paying twice for management. Profits from Company 'A' are already higher because of its fantastic management, so even paying the same multiple of 10 means paying something for good management.  Paying a higher multiple of 13 means paying for the excellent management twice.

Also, be wary of using earnings generated by an excellent management team as the basis of valuation. If management changes (and it frequently does, see Beware the new chief executive) any boost to earning caused by excellent management could disappear. This is further compounded if the stock traded on a high multiple on the basis of excellent management.

In fact, some (although certainly not all) value investors prefer situations where a company has latent earnings power due to poor management; preferring to focus on 'Company Bs' knowing a change in management could boost earnings to Company 'A' heights.

Judging management is notoriously difficult, and perhaps an easier solutions is avoiding businesses that require good management altogether. As Peter Lynch suggested, 'Go for a business that any idiot can run — because sooner or later, any idiot probably is going to run it.'

If, however, you're focused on situations where 'assessing management' is important, just be aware of the potential for paying twice.

How much is good management worth? How do you value management?  

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
Free Membership
Free Membership
Share this article and show your support

Join the Conversation...

There are comments posted so far.

If you'd like to join this conversation, please login or sign up here