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WAREHOUSE GROUP LIMITED (THE) (WHS)

WAREHOUSE GROUP LIMITED (THE) (WHS)

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General Information
Company Name: Warehouse Group Limited (The)
Stock Code: WHS
Website: www.thewarehouse.co.nz
GICS Sub-Industry: General Merchandise Stores
Market Cap ($M): 716
Equiv. Shares (M): 311

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 2.300 $ 2.300 $ 2.310 $ 2.300 $ 2.370 134,563 $ -0.070  -2.954 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Sell
Recommendation Date: 7th Jan 2009
12 Month Target Price (average): $0
Brokers Surveyed: 1

Company Overview

Business Description:
The Warehouse Group Limited (WHS) is primarily a discount department store with operations in New Zealand. The stores provide a broad range of products including manchester, appliances & electronics, homewares, photo processing, toys, outdoor living, hardware, clothing, footwear, health and beauty products, confectionery and jewellery. The Group also operates Warehouse Stationery and The Warehouse Financial Services.

Strategy Analysis:
WHS will rollout more stores in the future. It aims to increase its footprint by 33,000 square metres or by 8% over the next five years. This will likely keep capital expenditure at elevated levels of between NZ$118m in FY12 falling to ~NZ$70m in FY15 and FY16. It will seek to open small format stores in areas where a full service store is not feasible. Management is creating three sub-brands, which will be called the Warehouse Local, the Warehouse Store and the Warehouse Extra in a bid to achieve organic growth. The local stores will be small footprint stores with less the half the area of a conventional WHS store. It will have limited categories such as apparel and homeware. WHS argues that they control just 8-9% for the non food market at present and would like to leverage the 92% they do not control, so overtime they would like to see their share of non food go up through footprint growth and by entering into new categories like outdoor and camping equipment, jewellery etc. Management has ambitious plans to grow footprint for the stationery business. It is talking about a 15% increase in area over the next five years which is the biggest ever expansion the division has ever experienced. Management sees the biggest opportunity to increase margins in the stationery business from 4% currently to around 8% over the longer term. Additionally, notwithstanding cost pressures because of a rising Chinese currency, management thinks it can maintain margins at current levels through cost efficiencies. Warehouse Group reported NPAT down 21.6% to NZ$60.19m for the year ended 1 August 2010. The non cash charge was included in the Company's Financial Statements to achieve compliance with International Financial Reporting Standards. Revenues from ordinary activities were NZ$1.67bn, down 2.8% from last year. Diluted EPS was 19.4 NZ cents compared to 24.8 NZ cents last year. Net operating cash flow was NZ$129.15m compared to NZ$194.46m last year. The final dividend declared was 8.50 NZ cents, taking the full year dividend to 30.5 NZ cents compared with NZ 31 cents last year. Looking ahead, uncertainty and swings in consumer confidence remain a feature of the short term economic outlook. The Company expects consumer spending to continue its gradual improvement over the next 12 months but will likely remain patchy.


Financial Summary
Year to Jul NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 56.4 14.6 4.7 15.8 16.2 7.0 100.0
2012  F 53.9 13.9 -13.5 16.5 15.4 6.7 100.0
2011  A 62.3 16.1 -9.2 17.2 19.7 7.1 100.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Harvey Norman (HVN) $2,167 M -0.1923 -0.0435 0.1607 9.2517 9.6728 8.3333 0.0588 0.0571 0.0613
Thorn Group (TGA) $237 M 0.1196 0.1843 0.0801 9.7239 8.2108 7.6021 0.0518 0.0588 0.0643
The Warehouse Group (WHS) $738 M -0.1002 0.1430 0.0748 12.2798 10.7434 9.9958 0.0734 0.0854 0.0905

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
WHS 1.28 11.1 3.34 1.02 0.54
Market 0.80 12.5 1.38 1.16 1.88
Sector 0.74 10.65 1.87 1.08 0.68

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Robert John Tindall Alternate Director 01 July 2011
Ms Kerry Nickels Company Secretary 03 August 2009
Mr Keith Raymond Smith Non-Executive Chairman,Non-Executive Director 10 June 1994
Mr Stephen R Tindall Non-Executive Director 10 June 1994
Mr Graham Francis Evans Non-Executive Director 01 July 1998
Mr James Harold Ogden Non-Executive Director 04 August 2009
Ted van Arkel Non-Executive Director 01 July 2011
Ms Janine Laurel Smith Non-Exeucitve Director 03 August 2006

Management
Name Position
Mark Powell Chief Executive Officer

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
30,894,087 (9.90%) Wardell Bros & Coy Limited, Cash Wholesalers Limited and Foodstuffs (Auckland) Nominees Limited
66,323,220 (21.30%) The Tindall Foundation
30,548,887 (9.80%) General Distributors Limited
84,141,524 (27.00%) S R Tindall

Calendar of Events
Date Event
26 October 2012 Report (Annual)
14 September 2012 Report (Prelim)
09 March 2012 Report (Interim)
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