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VIRGIN AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED (VAH)

VIRGIN AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED (VAH)

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General Information
Company Name: Virgin Australia Holdings Limited
Stock Code: VAH
Website: www.virginaustralia.com
GICS Sub-Industry: Airlines
Market Cap ($M): 917
Equiv. Shares (M): 2,210

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
$ 0.415 $ 0.415 $ 0.420 $ 0.410 $ 0.415 7,700,796 0%

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 22nd May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $0.474
Brokers Surveyed: 7

Company Overview

Business Description:
Virgin Australia Holdings Limited (VAH, formerly Virgin Blue Holdings Limited) established itself as a low-cost carrier under the new brand 'Virgin Australia' for both domestic and international operations.

Strategy Analysis:
VBA launched its business in Australia as a full service operator looking to provide travelers an alternative to QAN which has been such a dominant carrier in the country. However the company has found going tough in the leisure segment with the introduction of QAN´s low cost carrier Jetstar. The focus is now on moving up the yield curve by targeting the business end of the market. Certain sectors like the Sydney-Perth sector will see a rise in capacity as the company looks to deploy wide body aircraft to mainly cater to business customers. The company says that every percentage point improvement in yields will have a dramatic effect on the bottom line. VBA has also created a virtual international network by forging alliances with international carriers like Air , Etihad, Delta and Singapore Airlines. These alliances will feed traffic into and out of Australia enabling both leisure and business passengers a viable option to QAN. In addition VBA will not need to invest in expensive aircraft resulting in lower capital expenditure and hopefully better returns. Perhaps the most important and significant tie-up is with Singapore Airlines given its brand image amongst business travelers and its footprint in Asia. Virgin Blue Holdings reported a net loss of $67.8m for the year ended 30 June 2011. The result includes $36m in unrealised foreign exchange loss due to the rising Australian Dollar. Revenues from ordinary activities were $3.27bn, up 9.8% from last year. Diluted EPS was (3.1) cents compared to 1.0 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $213.5m compared to $369.2m last year. No dividend was declared. The Company expects an improvement in underlying financial performance in Financial Year 2012, despite the uncertain economic environment.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 124.5 5.6 29.7 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012  F 96.0 4.3 -- 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011  A -46.7 -2.2 -395.9 -16.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Qantas Airways (QAN) $3,330 M 0.5324 -0.1150 0.7168 12.7053 14.3555 8.3618 0.0000 0.0000 0.0068
Virgin Australia Holdings (VAH) $917 M -- -- 0.6713 -- 14.5105 8.6820 0.0000 0.0000 0.0063

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
VAH 1.61 17.2 0.98 0.15 0.28
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 1.10 14.7 1.24 0.86 1.10

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Keith Roberts Alternate Director 28 November 2008
Mr John Borghetti Chief Executive Officer 08 May 2010
Mr Robert Bain Thomas Non-Executive Director 08 September 2006
Samantha Mostyn Non-Executive Director 01 September 2010
Mr David Baxby Non-Executive Director 30 September 2004
Hon Mark Vaile Non-Executive Director 22 September 2008
Mr Joshua Bayliss Non-Executive Director 07 April 2011
Mr Neil Gregory Chatfield Non-Executive Director,Non-Executive Chairman 11 May 2006

Management
Name Position
Sankar Narayan Chief Financial Officer
Adam Scott Rennie Thatcher Company Secretary
Liz Savage Group Executive Commercial
Merren McArthur Group Executive Corporate Advisory and Company Secretary
Danielle Keighery Group Executive Corporate Communications
Jane McKeon Group Executive Government Relations
Sean Donohue Group Executive Operations
Richard Tanner Group Executive People
Martin Daley Group Executive Product and Guest Services

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
573,015,919 (25.93%) Virgin Group

Calendar of Events
Date Event
21 February 2013 Report (Interim)
28 September 2012 Report (Annual)
24 September 2012 Report (Prelim)
23 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
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