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TELECOM CORPORATION OF NEW ZEALAND LIMITED (TEL)

TELECOM CORPORATION OF NEW ZEALAND LIMITED (TEL)

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General Information
Company Name: Telecom Corporation of New Zealand Limited
Stock Code: TEL
Website: www.telecom.co.nz
GICS Sub-Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Market Cap ($M): 3,206
Equiv. Shares (M): 1,925

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 1.670 $ 1.670 $ 1.675 $ 1.655 $ 1.665 11,482,042 $ 0.005  0.300 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 13th Dec 2011
12 Month Target Price (average): $0
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Telecom Corporation of New Zealand Limited (TEL) is the predominant NZ telecommunications service provider, offering a range of services and products to consumers and businesses. Telecom also carries voice and data traffic on the Southern Cross Cable and other cable and satellite systems. Telecom operates the following business units: Telecom Retail, Gen-I, Telecom Wholesale and AAPT-PowerTel.

Strategy Analysis:
TEL is well-positioned to respond to changes in the industry. After demerging its wholesale division, greater focus will be placed in its mobile division. Despite high penetration in handsets in the NZ mobile market, we expect smartphones to be the main driver for revenue growth as consumers upgrade their handsets. We expect postpaid ARPU to grow as smartphones continue to penetrate its postpaid subscriber base, leading to data revenue growth. The fixed broadband market continues to grow well in New Zealand. We do not see wireless broadband to be a direct substitute for fixed broadband given technological differences. Telecom Corporation of New Zealand reported NPAT down 56.8% to NZ$164m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Revenues from ordinary activities were NZ$5.12bn, down 2.8% from last year. Basic and Diluted EPS was 9 NZ cents compared to 20 NZ cents last year. Net operating cash flow was NZ$1.35bn compared to NZ$1.76bn last year. The final dividend declared was 7.5 NZ cents, taking the full year dividend to 20 NZ cents compared with 24 NZ cents last year. The company advised that it anticipates demerging Chorus in the FY12 financial year and therefore all financial guidance has been removed.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 252.1 13.1 3.1 12.7 11.5 6.9 0.0
2012  F 244.7 12.7 27.3 13.1 11.5 6.9 0.0
2011  A 192.1 10.0 NaN 13.0 18.5 14.3 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Chorus (CNU) $974 M -- -- 0.3539 -- 7.6993 5.6867 0.0000 0.0668 0.0860
Singapore Telecommunications (SGT) $456 M -0.0462 0.5015 0.0806 13.7931 9.1865 8.5014 0.0792 0.0713 0.0786
Telecom NZ (TEL) $3,254 M -0.0466 0.2054 -0.0061 13.7734 11.4266 11.4966 0.0651 0.0787 0.0781
Telstra (TLS) $42,058 M -0.1664 0.0943 0.0389 12.9552 11.8389 11.3958 0.0828 0.0828 0.0828
TPG Telecom (TPM) $1,191 M 0.3311 0.3925 0.1851 14.8662 10.6762 9.0090 0.0300 0.0405 0.0429

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
TEL 0.58 12.1 2.27 1.28 1.03
Market 0.82 12.5 1.38 1.18 1.90
Sector 0.39 12.1 2.26 1.28 1.09

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Dr Paul Joseph Reynolds Chief Executive Officer,Executive Director 04 October 2007
Mr Mark Verbiest Non-Executive Chairman 01 December 2011
Dr Murray James Horn Non-Executive Director 01 July 2007
Mr Kevin John Roberts Non-Executive Director 28 August 2008
Mr Charles Sitch Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011
Ms Justine Smyth Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011
Ms Maury Leyland Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011
Mr Paul Berriman Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011

Management
Name Position
Mark Ratcliffe Chief Executive Officer, Chorus and Executive Lead, Telecom's UFB Programme
Chris Quin Chief Executive Officer, Gen-i
Alan Gourdie Chief Executive Officer, Retail
Nick Olson Chief Financial Officer
Rod Snodgrass Chief Product Officer
Craig Mulholland Company Secretary
Tina Symmans Corporate Relations Director
David Havercroft Group Chief Technology Officer
Tristan Gilbertson Group General Counsel & Company Secretary

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
109,981,249 (5.71%) AMP Limited
159,174,219 (8.27%) Schroder Investment Management Australia Limited

Calendar of Events
Date Event
11 September 2012 Report (Annual)
17 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
24 February 2012 Report (Interim)
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