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TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED (TAH)

TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED (TAH)

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General Information
Company Name: Tabcorp Holdings Limited
Stock Code: TAH
Website: www.tabcorp.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Casinos & Gaming
Market Cap ($M): 2,125
Equiv. Shares (M): 730

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
$ 2.910 $ 2.920 $ 2.940 $ 2.900 $ 2.910 2,554,029 0%

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 17th May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $3.33
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Tabcorp Holdings Limited (TAH) offers a range of gambling and entertainment products. TAH's major business units include Wagering, Gaming, and Keno. Customer brands include TAB, Tabaret, Keno, Luxbet, TAB Sportsbet, Tabcorp Gaming Solutions, Sky Racing and Sky Sports Radio.

Strategy Analysis:
TAH´s key strategic initiative in the next year will be directing capital and resources to maintaining the strong off-course and online retail distribution network in Victoria and NSW. Further research, development and roll-out of the self service technology and application software will be implemented, which will assist in lowering operating costs. The company will also continue establishing the Tabcorp Gaming Solutions and Luxbet businesses. We believe the knowledge and expertise, TAH has gained rolling-out Trackside in Victoria, will be leveraged to successfully to grow the product within the NSW market during FY12 and FY13. The expansion of Trackside and the company´s media operations are major strategic growth opportunities. Through reciprocal arrangements, Sky Racing´s international operations is responsible for all imported racing content and co-mingling of wagering pools with operators in Singapore, South Africa and New Zealand. Tabcorp Holdings reported NPAT up 14% to $534.8m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Reported NPAT reflects the actual win rate in the VIP Rebate Business of the Casinos division and one-off demerger related items. Revenues from ordinary activities were $4.47bn, up 6% from last year. Diluted EPS was 80.4 cents compared to 77.0 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $658.1m compared to $701.2 last year. The final dividend declared was 19 cents, taking the full year dividend to 43 cents. Looking ahead, the Company reported it plans to launch Victorian Keno in April 2012 and looks forward a smooth transition to the new Victorian Wagering and Betting Licence in August 2012. Tabcorp intends to target a dividend payout ratio of 50% of NPAT in FY12 and 80% of NPAT in FY13.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 173.6 24.3 -49.5 12.0 20.0 6.9 100.0
2012  F 343.9 48.2 6.3 6.0 25.0 8.6 100.0
2011  A 301.6 45.4 0.4 7.4 43.0 12.9 100.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Aristocrat Leisure (ALL) $1,618 M 0.2027 0.3290 0.1341 23.8250 17.9268 15.8065 0.0221 0.0245 0.0323
Crown (CWN) $6,235 M 0.1491 0.3865 0.0829 19.3272 13.9391 12.8722 0.0432 0.0432 0.0432
Echo Entertainment Group (EGP) $2,986 M -- -0.4222 0.2187 13.2116 22.8662 18.7635 0.0000 0.0206 0.0250
Tabcorp (TAH) $2,125 M 1.2451 -0.3981 -0.5115 3.6194 6.0136 12.3096 0.1478 0.0842 0.0657
Tatts Group (TTS) $3,544 M -0.0709 0.1561 -0.3285 12.0426 10.4167 15.5131 0.0827 0.0842 0.0638

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
TAH 0.92 5.63 1.65 10.00 0.66
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 1.02 11.2 1.31 1.10 1.03

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr David Attenborough Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director 09 June 2011
Ms Paula Jane Dwyer Non-Executive Chairman 28 February 2005
Dr Zygmunt Edward Switkowski Non-Executive Director 06 October 2006
Ms Jane Sharman Hemstritch Non-Executive Director 09 November 2007
Mr Justin Milne Non-Executive Director 01 August 2011

Management
Name Position
Damien Johnston Chief Financial Officer
Kerry Willcock Company Secretary
Kerry Willcock Executive General Manager - Corporate, Legal and Regulatory
Merryl Dooley Executive General Manager - Human Resources
Doug Freeman Executive General Manager - Strategy and Business Development
Mohan Jesudason Managing Director - Gaming and Group Marketing

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
55,988,365 (8.14%) Perpetual Limited and subsidiaries
43,333,881 (6.30%) BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited (formerly Barclays Global Investors Australia)

Calendar of Events
Date Event
07 February 2013 Report (Interim)
14 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
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