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TRANSURBAN GROUP (TCL)

TRANSURBAN GROUP (TCL)

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General Information
Company Name: Transurban Group
Stock Code: TCL
Website: www.transurban.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Highways & Railtracks
Market Cap ($M): 8,312
Equiv. Shares (M): 1,458

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 5.700 $ 5.750 $ 5.780 $ 5.700 $ 5.770 3,634,541 $ -0.070  -1.213 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Buy
Recommendation Date: 14th May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $6.067
Brokers Surveyed: 7

Company Overview

Business Description:
Transurban Group (TCL) is involved in the development, operation, and maintenance of toll roads business in Australia and North America.

Strategy Analysis:
TCL's strategy is to diversify its portfolio of toll roads, drive operational efficiencies and upgrade roads as needed. The cost reduction program initiated in June 2008 is progressing well and further savings should negate inflation pressures and see costs remain flat over the medium-term. TCL´s portfolio has grown from a single road - CityLink in Melbourne - to a diversified portoflio over the last decade. In Australia, it acquired Hills Motorway in 2005, Sydney Roads Group in mid 2007 and the Lane Cove Tunnel in mid 2010. It entered the US market in 2006, securing a 99 year concession to operate the Pocahontas Parkway in Virginia. It subsequently secured two HOT lanes projects - a 75 year concession on the Washington Capital Beltway and a 73 year concession on the adjoining I-95. US expansion has disappointed so far but the HOT lanes projects currently under planning/construction should be more successful. The 50% owned Sydney Westlink M7 opened in late 2005 and continues to ramp-up. The Melbourne CityLink upgrade finished late 2010 and is driving strong traffic growth. Work on widening the Hills M2 begun January 2011, hurting traffic volumes on the M2 and the LCT and M7 which connect to it. The M5 upgrade should be next. Distributions are based on free cash flow without debt. Transurban Group released its financial results for the year ended 30 June 2011, reporting underlying proportional EBITDA of $718.7m, an increase of 13.1% on the prior corresponding period (pcp). On a statutory accounting basis, the group reported net profit of $118.2m, a 98.2% increase on the pcp. Continued strong revenue growth in the second half of the year and continued success with cost management led to underlying free cash increasing 12.3% to $390.4m, allowing the board to declare a final distribution of 14.0 cents per security. The declared full year distribution of 27.0 cents is an increase from guidance and represents 12.5% growth on the prior year.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 64.1 4.4 129.2 129.5 33.0 5.8 25.0
2012  F 27.8 1.9 -- 296.9 29.5 5.2 25.0
2011  A -28.9 -2.0 -- -250.6 27.0 5.3 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Asciano (AIO) $4,370 M 1.1454 0.1356 0.2335 17.7566 15.6370 12.6769 0.0134 0.0169 0.0216
Macquarie Atlas Roads (MQA) $692 M -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0000 0.0000 0.0832
Transurban Group (TCL) $8,415 M 0.7111 -0.7558 1.3037 73.7852 302.0942 131.1364 0.0468 0.0511 0.0572

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
TCL 0.90 230.1 2.22 10.00 7.91
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 1.10 14.7 1.24 0.86 1.10

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Christopher James Lynch Chief Executive Officer 19 February 2008
Mr Lindsay Philip Maxsted Non-Executive Chairman 01 March 2008
Dr Robert (Bob) John Edgar Non-Executive Director 21 July 2009
Mr Neil Gregory Chatfield Non-Executive Director 18 February 2009
Samantha Mostyn Non-Executive Director 08 December 2010
Ms Christine O'Reilly Non-Executive Director 12 April 2012
Professor Robert (Bob) Officer Non-Executive Director 20 August 2010
Mr Ian Kingsley Smith Non-Executive Director 01 January 2012
Mr Rodney E Slater Non-Executive Director 22 June 2009
Ms Jennifer S Eve Non-Executive Director 18 September 2006
Mr James M Keyes Non-Executive Director 18 September 2006

Management
Name Position
T Honan Chief Financial Officer
Amanda Street Company Secretary
S Hogg Group General Manager, Corporate Services
A Head Group General Manager, New South Wales
E Mildwater Group General Manager, Victoria
Julie Galligan Joint Company Secretary
K Daley President, International Development
M Kulper President, Transurban North America

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
183,319,045 (12.60%) Capital Partners Pty Ltd

Calendar of Events
Date Event
05 February 2013 Report (Interim)
20 September 2012 Report (Annual)
02 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
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