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TOLL HOLDINGS LIMITED (TOL)

TOLL HOLDINGS LIMITED (TOL)

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General Information
Company Name: Toll Holdings Limited
Stock Code: TOL
Website: www.tollgroup.com
GICS Sub-Industry: Air Freight & Logistics
Market Cap ($M): 3,227
Equiv. Shares (M): 717

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 4.500 $ 4.380 $ 4.500 $ 4.360 $ 4.390 5,359,581 $ 0.110  2.506 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 18th May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $5.087
Brokers Surveyed: 7

Company Overview

Business Description:
Toll Holdings Limited (TOL) is an integrated logistics provider in the Asian region and operates an extensive network throughout Australia, New Zealand (NZ) and Asia delivering seamless, end to end, local, regional and global supply chain solutions. TOL serves businesses in automotive, beverage, food and retail, industrial, ports, resources and relocation sector.

Strategy Analysis:
TOL has established itself as a major supplier of transport, logistics and freight forwarding services in Australia, with a high level of exposure to retail, food and fast moving consumer goods and limited exposure to the resources sector. In the current domestic economic conditions the company´s strategy is causing earnings to languish. Senior management have started addressing the issue by acquiring the second largest mining transport services company in Western Australia. In addition, due to the fragmented nature of the domestic market TOL is continually needing to undertake acquisitions to ensure its competitive advantage is maintained. During the past five years, TOL has divested significant businesses and assets, including ports, rail businesses and the shareholding in Virgin Blue. But a strong balance sheet and retention of solid cash-generating businesses during the global financial crisis provided the company with an opportunity to embark on the well-considered Asian growth strategy. While momentum builds in the global logistics and global forwarding businesses they still face weakness and uncertainty in the current global economic conditions due to a lack of size. Toll Holdings reported NPAT of $281.4m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Revenues from ordinary activities were $8.22bn, up 18.4% from last year. Revenue growth benefitted from Toll Global Logistics' strategy of an Asia-focused footprint with global connectivity. Revenue and EBITA performance at In2store and Contract Logistics increased with a number of new contract wins. New business wins and improved warehouse utilisation in the South and SE Asia region also contributed positively. Diluted EPS was 39.8 cents compared to 39.8 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $540.0m compared to $391.7m last year. The final dividend declared was 13.5 cents, taking the full year dividend to 25 cents, in line with 25 cents last year.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 269.1 37.5 1.8 12.0 25.0 5.6 100.0
2012  F 262.3 36.9 -6.3 12.2 25.0 5.6 100.0
2011  A 277.7 39.3 -6.0 15.0 25.0 4.2 100.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Qube Logistics Holdings (QUB) $1,382 M -- -- 0.1042 -- 19.5624 17.7156 0.0263 0.0269 0.0370
Toll Holdings (TOL) $3,148 M -0.0120 -0.0684 0.0311 11.1648 11.9847 11.6230 0.0569 0.0569 0.0584

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
TOL 0.60 11.8 1.15 10.00 0.39
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 1.10 14.7 1.24 0.86 1.10

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Brian Kruger Managing Director 01 January 2012
Mr Barry Lionel Cusack Non-Executive Director 01 October 2007
Mr Harry Boon Non-Executive Director 01 November 2006
Frank Ford Non-Executive Director 14 January 2008
Mr Mark Graham Smith Non-Executive Director 01 July 2007
Ms Nicola Wakefield Non-Executive Director 10 May 2011
Mr Raymond Kenneth Horsburgh Non-Executive Director,Non-Executive Chairman 24 November 2004

Management
Name Position
Brian Kruger Chief Financial Officer
Bernard McInerney Company Secretary
Stephen Stanley Strategy/Mergers and Acquisitions, Director
Paul Ebsworth Toll Domestic Forwarding, Divisional Director
Shane O'Neill Toll Global Express, Divisional Director
Hugh Cushing Toll Global Forwarding, CEO
Wayne Hunt Toll Global Logistics, President and CEO
David Jackson Toll Global Resources, CEO
Mal Grimmond Toll Specialised & Domestic Freight, Divisional Director

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
37,535,935 (5.29%) Paul Alexander Little and Assoc

Calendar of Events
Date Event
21 February 2013 Report (Interim)
05 October 2012 Report (Annual)
21 September 2012 Report (Annual)
23 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
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