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TELECOM CORPORATION OF NEW ZEALAND LIMITED (TEL)

TELECOM CORPORATION OF NEW ZEALAND LIMITED (TEL)

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General Information
Company Name: Telecom Corporation of New Zealand Limited
Stock Code: TEL
Website: www.telecom.co.nz
GICS Sub-Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Market Cap ($M): 3,821
Equiv. Shares (M): 1,930

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 1.980 $ 1.995 $ 2.000 $ 1.970 $ 1.985 5,451,272 $ -0.005  -0.252 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Sell
Recommendation Date: 8th May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $0
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Telecom Corporation of New Zealand Limited (TEL) is the predominant NZ telecommunications service provider, offering a range of services and products to consumers and businesses. Telecom also carries voice and data traffic on the Southern Cross Cable and other cable and satellite systems. Telecom operates the following business units: Telecom Retail, Gen-I, Telecom Wholesale and AAPT-PowerTel.

Strategy Analysis:
TEL is well-positioned to respond to changes in the industry. After demerging its wholesale division, greater focus will be placed in its mobile division. Despite high penetration in handsets in the NZ mobile market, we expect smartphones to be the main driver for revenue growth as consumers upgrade their handsets. We expect postpaid ARPU to grow as smartphones continue to penetrate its postpaid subscriber base, leading to data revenue growth. The fixed broadband market continues to grow well in New Zealand. We do not see wireless broadband to be a direct substitute for fixed broadband given technological differences. Telecom Corporation of New Zealand reported NPAT down 56.8% to NZ$164m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Revenues from ordinary activities were NZ$5.12bn, down 2.8% from last year. Basic and Diluted EPS was 9 NZ cents compared to 20 NZ cents last year. Net operating cash flow was NZ$1.35bn compared to NZ$1.76bn last year. The final dividend declared was 7.5 NZ cents, taking the full year dividend to 20 NZ cents compared with 24 NZ cents last year. The company advised that it anticipates demerging Chorus in the FY12 financial year and therefore all financial guidance has been removed.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 219.3 12.3 11.5 16.1 10.8 5.4 90.0
2012  F 204.4 11.0 10.2 18.0 13.8 7.0 85.0
2011  A 192.1 10.0 NaN 13.0 18.5 14.3 100.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Chorus (CNU) $951 M -- -- 0.2751 -- 7.1387 5.5984 0.0000 0.0706 0.0870
M2 Telecommunications Group (MTU) $506 M 0.5669 0.3478 0.2837 15.1261 11.2227 8.7426 0.0476 0.0555 0.0670
Telecom NZ (TEL) $3,831 M -0.0466 0.2111 0.1285 16.1777 13.3580 11.8366 0.0555 0.0907 0.0761
Telstra (TLS) $43,924 M -0.1664 0.0951 0.0623 13.5301 12.3556 11.6310 0.0793 0.0793 0.0793
TPG Telecom (TPM) $1,365 M 0.3311 0.4163 0.1903 17.0466 12.0364 10.1117 0.0262 0.0323 0.0374

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
TEL 0.71 13.6 2.70 0.80 1.23
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 0.20 12.3 2.34 0.95 1.69

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Dr Paul Joseph Reynolds Chief Executive Officer,Executive Director 04 October 2007
Mr Mark Verbiest Non-Executive Chairman 01 December 2011
Dr Murray James Horn Non-Executive Director 01 July 2007
Mr Kevin John Roberts Non-Executive Director 28 August 2008
Mr Charles Sitch Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011
Ms Justine Smyth Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011
Ms Maury Leyland Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011
Mr Paul Berriman Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011

Management
Name Position
Mark Ratcliffe Chief Executive Officer, Chorus and Executive Lead, Telecom's UFB Programme
Chris Quin Chief Executive Officer, Gen-i
Alan Gourdie Chief Executive Officer, Retail
Nick Olson Chief Financial Officer
Rod Snodgrass Chief Product Officer
Craig Mulholland Company Secretary
Tina Symmans Corporate Relations Director
David Havercroft Group Chief Technology Officer
Tristan Gilbertson Group General Counsel & Company Secretary

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
109,981,249 (5.71%) AMP Limited
159,174,219 (8.27%) Schroder Investment Management Australia Limited

Calendar of Events
Date Event
27 March 2013 Report (Interim)
22 February 2013 Report (Interim)
11 September 2012 Report (Annual)
17 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
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