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QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED (QAN)

QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED (QAN)

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General Information
Company Name: Qantas Airways Limited
Stock Code: QAN
Website: www.qantas.com
GICS Sub-Industry: Airlines
Market Cap ($M): 3,296
Equiv. Shares (M): 2,265

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 1.455 $ 1.460 $ 1.475 $ 1.450 $ 1.470 4,591,564 $ -0.015  -1.020 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Buy
Recommendation Date: 23rd May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $2.12
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Qantas Airways Limited (QAN) main business is the transportation of passengers. In addition to its Qantas and Jetstar brand flying operations, the Qantas Group operates a portfolio of airline related businesses. These include Qantas Engineering, Airports, Q Catering, Qantas Freight, Qantas Defence Services, Qantas Holidays and the Qantas Frequent Flyer Program.

Strategy Analysis:
QAN's core strategy is to profitably grow its two flying brands, Qantas and low-cost Jetstar. Qantas will seek to strengthen its leading positions in premium markets. Jetstar will expand locally and into international leisure markets. QAN also has Freight and Frequent Flyer businesses. The longer term strategy for QAN is to restructure its international business in an attempt to eliminate mounting losses. The strategy laid out by the company is to reduce the capital intensity of the business by forging partnerships with carriers in certain sectors that are uneconomical. The proposed code sharing arrangement with British Airways on the European sector is one such example. The expansion of Jetstar in Asia will continue as that has been a big success story. Plans to introduce a premium service in Asia and l a new service in Japan are intriguing. QAN is also looking to take significant cost out of this business. Qantas Airways reported NPAT of $250m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Revenues from ordinary activities were $14.89bn, up 8% from last year. The 2011 results include the financial impact of the Rolls-Royce engine failure on QF 32 and the subsequent temporary grounding of the Airbus A380 fleet. The results also include the settlement agreed with Rolls-Royce ($95m) which offsets the direct financial losses incurred. Basic and Diluted EPS was 11.0 cents compared to 4.9 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $1.78bn compared to $1.35bn last year. No dividend was declared. The group invested $2.4bn in capital expenditure during the year. This includes the purchase of 15 aircraft, progress payments on future deliveries, and continued investment in customer product and infrastructure.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 435.1 19.2 57.2 7.6 3.0 2.1 100.0
2012  F 277.0 12.2 -28.4 11.9 0.0 0.0 100.0
2011  A 386.4 17.1 40.3 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Qantas Airways (QAN) $3,330 M 0.5324 -0.1150 0.7168 12.7053 14.3555 8.3618 0.0000 0.0000 0.0068
Virgin Australia Holdings (VAH) $917 M -- -- 0.6713 -- 14.5105 8.6820 0.0000 0.0000 0.0063

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
QAN 1.73 14.0 0.54 0.60 0.22
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 1.10 14.7 1.24 0.86 1.10

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Alan Joseph Joyce Executive Director,Chief Executive Officer 28 July 2008
Mr Richard Leigh Clifford Non-Executive Chairman,Non-Executive Director 09 August 2007
Mr William Meaney Non-Executive Director 15 February 2012
Mr James Alexander Strong Non-Executive Director 01 July 2006
Mrs Patricia Anne Cross Non-Executive Director 01 January 2004
Ms Barbara Kay Ward Non-Executive Director 19 June 2008
Dr John Michael Schubert Non-Executive Director 23 October 2000
Mr Garry Arthur Hounsell Non-Executive Director 01 January 2005
Mr Richard Goodmanson Non-Executive Director 19 June 2008
Mr Peter John Cosgrove Non-Executive Director 06 July 2005
Mr Paul Ashley Rayner Non-Executive Director 16 July 2008
Ms Corinne Namblard Non-Executive Director 16 June 2011

Management
Name Position
Bruce Buchanan Chief Executive Officer, Jetstar
Simon Hickey Chief Executive Officer, Qantas Frequent Flyer
Gareth Evans Chief Financial Officer
Cassandra Jane Hamlin Company Secretary
Taryn Leigh Morton Company Secretary
Brett Johnson General Counsel
Lesley Grant Group Executive, Customer and Marketing
Olivia Wirth Group Executive, Government and Corporate Affairs
Jon Scriven Group Executive, People
Rob Gurney Group Executive, Qantas Commercial
Lyell Strambi Group Executive, Qantas Operations
Jayne Hrdlicka Group Executive, Strategy and Technology

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
171,298,307 (7.56%) Commonwealth Bank Group
115,135,358 (5.08%) Westpac Banking Corporation
183,766,868 (8.11%) Balanced Equity Management Pty Ltd
114,301,097 (5.05%) National Australia Bank Limited
154,926,282 (6.84%) Capital Group Companies Inc
202,442,206 (8.94%) Franklin Resources, Inc and its affiliates

Calendar of Events
Date Event
14 February 2013 Report (Interim)
05 September 2012 Report (Annual)
22 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
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