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NEWCREST MINING LIMITED (NCM)

NEWCREST MINING LIMITED (NCM)

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General Information
Company Name: Newcrest Mining Limited
Stock Code: NCM
Website: www.newcrest.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Gold
Market Cap ($M): 25,657
Equiv. Shares (M): 765

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 33.540 $ 33.850 $ 33.980 $ 33.410 $ 33.920 2,164,959 $ -0.380  -1.120 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Buy
Recommendation Date: 25th Jan 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $42.873
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Newcrest Mining Limited (NCM) is gold producer with its main operations in Australia, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea and Fiji. Newcrest's asset portfolio includes eight operating mines and several prospective brown and greenfield exploration projects.

Strategy Analysis:
NCM's vision is to be the miner of choice for all stakeholders. Company strategy is to deliver competitive shareholder returns by: 1) Optimising performance at each phase of the mining value chain for gold - exploration, development and operation of low cost, long life gold and gold-copper mines. 2) Building a portfolio of gold opportunities, primarily through exploration and early entry merger and acquisitions prospects in known gold regions, to convert into operating mines. 3) Harnessing technical expertise across a wide range of mining and processing methods. Newcrest Mining reported NPAT up 63% to $908m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Revenues from ordinary activities were $4.10bn, up 46% from last year. Strong production results from the Company's existing operations and the inclusion of the former LGL assets for the ten months from September 2010 to June 2011 have combined to deliver Newcrest a record full year production and financial results. Diluted EPS was 126.2 cents compared to 114.9 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $1.73bn compared to $1.30bn last year. The final dividend declared was 20 cents, taking the full year dividend to 50 cents compared with 25 cents last year.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 1,252.2 163.5 3.7 20.5 50.0 1.5 100.0
2012  F 1,207.0 157.6 7.2 21.3 40.0 1.2 0.0
2011  A 1,058.0 147.1 -6.6 26.2 50.0 1.3 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Newcrest Mining (NCM) $25,947 M -0.0667 0.2254 0.0953 23.0670 18.8235 17.1860 0.0147 0.0102 0.0128
Oz Minerals (OZL) $3,551 M 2.3431 -0.4213 -0.2218 6.2320 10.7685 13.8371 0.0621 0.0447 0.0319
Perseus (PRU) $1,331 M -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0000 0.0000 --
Regis Resources (RRL) $1,730 M -- 0.6101 2.5876 46.1358 28.6545 7.9870 0.0000 0.0000 0.0388
Resolute Mining (RSG) $1,403 M 0.0735 1.2523 0.0000 19.2793 8.5600 8.5600 0.0000 0.0049 0.0119

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
NCM 1.08 20.1 1.86 1.27 5.87
Market 0.82 12.5 1.38 1.18 1.90
Sector 0.63 12.4 1.31 0.66 20.8

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Gregory John Robinson Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director 23 November 2006
Mr Donald Penn Mercer Non-Executive Chairman 26 October 2006
Mr Richard John Lee Non-Executive Director 14 August 2007
Mr Timothy Michael Poole Non-Executive Director 14 August 2007
Mr Vincent (Vince) Patrick Gauci Non-Executive Director 10 December 2008
Mr Richard Knight Non-Executive Director 13 February 2008
Mrs Winifred L Kamit Non-Executive Director 01 February 2011
Mr John Menzies Spark Non-Executive Director 26 September 2007

Management
Name Position
Greg Jackson Chief Operating Officer
Stephen Ernest Nigel Creese Company Secretary
Peter Smith Executive General Manager - Australia and West Africa Operations
Colin Moorhead Executive General Manager - Minerals
Debra Stirling Executive General Manager - People & Communications
Brett Fletcher Executive General Manager - PNG and Indonesian Operations
Ron Douglas Executive General Manager - Projects
Peter G Larsen Joint Company Secretary

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
-- (12.62%) BlackRock Group
-- (7.86%) Commonwealth Bank Group
-- (11.16%) Fidelity Group

Calendar of Events
Date Event
22 January 2013 Report (Quarterly)
18 October 2012 Report (Quarterly)
24 September 2012 Report (Annual)
13 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
19 July 2012 Report (Quarterly)
17 April 2012 Report (Quarterly)
10 February 2012 Report (Interim)
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