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GRAINCORP LIMITED (GNC)

GRAINCORP LIMITED (GNC)

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General Information
Company Name: Graincorp Limited
Stock Code: GNC
Website: www.graincorp.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Agricultural Products
Market Cap ($M): 1,811
Equiv. Shares (M): 198

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 9.130 $ 9.020 $ 9.260 $ 9.020 $ 9.020 951,011 $ 0.110  1.220 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 25th May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $9.35
Brokers Surveyed: 6

Company Overview

Business Description:
GrainCorp Limited (GNC) provides handling, storage, marketing and logistics services to the grain growing industry. GNC is also a large commercial malt producer producing over one million tonnes annually. GNC owns a 60% stake in Allied Mills, a manufacturer and distributor of bakery premixes and flour.

Strategy Analysis:
GNC's strategy is focused on becoming a fully integrated agribusiness and expanding its grain storage and handling facilities. The company is pursuing an organic and acquisitive growth strategy. GNC continues to streamline costs and diversify its earnings base in order to reduce its reliance on income generated based on the total volume of crops handled. The expansion into malt adds both vertical and geographic diversification. The company continues the marketing expansion both domestically and internationally and seeks to build a strong presence in international grain trading. Graincorp reported NPAT of $171.6m for the year ended 30 September 2011 compared to a profit after tax of $80.2m for the previous year. EBITDA increased from $212.2m to $349.6m. The comparative period included the acquisition of the Malt business from 13 November 2009. Revenues from ordinary activities were $2.78bn, up 39.5% from last year, reflecting higher Eastern Australian grain harvest volumes and associated revenues from Country and Logistics, Ports and Marketing. Diluted EPS was 86.6 cents compared to 39.4 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $304.8m compared to $109.3m last year. The final dividend declared was 15 cents, along with a special dividend of 20 cents, taking the full year dividend to 55 cents compared with 30 cents last year.


Financial Summary
Year to Sep NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 167.4 84.4 -7.4 10.8 35.0 3.8 100.0
2012  F 180.8 91.2 8.4 10.0 35.0 3.8 100.0
2011  A 166.6 84.1 148.7 9.0 30.0 4.0 100.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Graincorp (GNC) $1,789 M 1.4638 0.0749 -0.1939 10.7266 9.9790 12.3799 0.0610 0.0616 0.0419

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
GNC 0.80 10.30 1.32 10.00 0.65
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 0.76 11.0 0.78 6.66 0.61

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Ms Alison Mary Watkins Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director 30 July 2010
Mr Donald C Taylor Non-Executive Chairman 01 October 2003
Mr Daniel James Mangelsdorf Non-Executive Deputy Chairman 17 February 2005
Ms Barbara June Gibson Non-Executive Director 03 March 2011
Mr Peter John Housden Non-Executive Director (other) 17 October 2008
Mr Donald Gordon McGauchie Non-Executive Director (other) 23 December 2009
Mr David Bruce Trebeck Non-Executive Director (other) 27 February 2002
Mr Simon Lucien Tregoning Non-Executive Director (other) 02 December 2008

Management
Name Position
Neil Johns Chief Development Officer
Alistair Bell Chief Financial Officer
Ian Wilton Chief Financial Officer,Interim Chief Executive Officer
Andrew C Horne Company Secretary
Heather Miles General Manager Corporate Services
Sam Tainsh General Manager Marketing
Nigel Hart Group General Manager Storage & Logistics
Steve Haydon President and CEO GrainCorp Malt

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
11,840,118 (5.97%) IOOF Holdings Limited
11,941,720 (6.02%) AMP Limited
10,569,582 (5.33%) Deutsche Bank AG
9,930,248 (5.01%) Dimensional Fund Advisors LP

Calendar of Events
Date Event
21 May 2013 Report (Interim)
06 December 2012 Report (Annual)
22 November 2012 Report (Prelim)
22 November 2012 Report (Annual)
20 July 2012 Div Pay Date
06 July 2012 Books Close
02 July 2012 Div Ex Date
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