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GOODMAN FIELDER LIMITED. (GFF)

GOODMAN FIELDER LIMITED. (GFF)

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General Information
Company Name: Goodman Fielder Limited
Stock Code: GFF
Website: www.goodmanfielder.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Market Cap ($M): 1,173
Equiv. Shares (M): 1,956

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 0.600 $ 0.585 $ 0.605 $ 0.585 $ 0.585 9,344,192 $ 0.015  2.564 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 24th May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $0.606
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Goodman Fielder Limited (GFF) owns the major grocery brands Wonder White, White Wings, Helga's, Meadow Lea, Praise, Quality Bakers and Nature's Fresh. Its product range includes staples such as bread, milk, margarine, dressings, mayonnaise and flour. GFF is the largest or second-largest supplier in most of the categories in which it competes and its distribution network delivers products to over 30,000 outlets including supermarkets, convenience stores and food service customers.

Strategy Analysis:
GFF says its 'guiding principles´ are: branded consumer products generate higher returns; brands provide effective insulation against commodity cost volatility; complex product and brand portfolios dilute the investment required to protect or grow market positions; and attractive returns are achievable in mature categories only where there is significant brand strength and/or a material delivered cost advantage, and where market conditions are stable. Within the focus on retail brands, the growth strategies are product innovation, bolt-on acquisitions, internal efficiencies and price recovery of commodity cost increases. GFF aims to be the lowest-cost producer in its categories. New CEO Chris Delaney has initiated a strategic review focused on improving performance. He sees significant opportunities for innovation in the product portfolio, increased efficiency and supply chain improvements. While there appears room for significant improvement, the fact is that GFF is in a cyclical industry with some major structural challenges. Goodman Fielder reported a net loss of $166.7m for the year ended 30 June 2011, attributable to a non-cash impairment charge of $300.0m announced on 19 August 2011. Underlying NPAT was $133.3m, down 17.3% from $161.1m for the prior year. Revenues from ordinary activities were $2.56bn, down 3.9% from last year. Basic and Diluted EPS was (12.1) cents compared to 11.7 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $207.6m compared to $319.7m last year. The final dividend declared was 2.5 cents, taking the full year dividend to 7.75 cents compared with 10.75 cents last year. An update on FY2012 guidance will be given at the company's AGM on 24 November 2011.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 146.9 7.2 10.7 8.4 3.0 5.0 25.0
2012  F 110.9 6.5 -29.1 9.3 2.0 3.3 25.0
2011  A 135.2 9.1 -26.8 13.0 7.2 6.1 34.8
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Australian Agricultural Co (AAC) $380 M -- -- -- 30.2239 -- -- 0.0000 -- --
Goodman Fielder (GFF) $1,144 M -0.1602 -0.3773 0.2049 6.3795 10.2452 8.5029 0.1232 0.0342 0.0769
Tassal Group (TGR) $192 M -0.0152 -0.2261 0.1404 6.3527 8.2085 7.1976 0.0152 0.0588 0.0589

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
GFF 0.76 9.93 0.69 10.00 0.35
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 0.76 11.0 0.78 6.66 0.61

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Chris Delaney Chief Executive Officer 04 July 2011
Mr Peter Maxwell Margin Chief Executive Officer, Managing Director 14 November 2005
Mr Maxwell Gilbert Ould Non-Executive Chairman,Non-Executive Director 30 August 2006
Mr Ian David Johnston Non-Executive Director 26 May 2008
Mr Clive Anthony Hooke Non-Executive Director 19 April 2007
Ms Christine Joanne Froggatt Non-Executive Director 27 August 2009
Mr Steven Gregg Non-Executive Director 26 February 2010
Mr Peter Roland Hearl Non-Executive Director 26 February 2010

Management
Name Position
Jonathon West Company Secretary

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
87,382,416 (6.33%) AXA Group
103,096,852 (7.47%) National Australia Bank Limited Group
69,263,564 (5.02%) DFA Group
113,292,275 (8.21%) Letko, Brosseau & Associates Inc
100,432,900 (7.28%) Harris Associates L P
70,676,680 (5.12%) Lazard Asset Management Pacific Co
141,924,365 (10.28%) Maple Brown Abbott Limited

Calendar of Events
Date Event
14 February 2013 Report (Interim)
12 October 2012 Report (Annual)
28 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
27 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
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