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FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LTD (FMG)

FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LTD (FMG)

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General Information
Company Name: Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
Stock Code: FMG
Website: www.fmgl.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Steel
Market Cap ($M): 16,379
Equiv. Shares (M): 3,114

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 5.260 $ 5.360 $ 5.380 $ 5.260 $ 5.360 15,961,872 $ -0.100  -1.866 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Buy
Recommendation Date: 19th Jan 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $7.205
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (FMG, formerly Allied Mining & Processing Limited) is an iron ore production and exploration company with assets located in Western Australia.

Strategy Analysis:
FMG's goal is to become the lowest cost iron ore miner in the Pilbara region of WA. From an initial base of 40Mt a year, FMG expanded to 55Mtpa from mid 2011 with the $600m expansion of Christmas Creek and Cloudbreak. The next planned step is to 155Mtpa at a cost of US$8.4bn. This excludes the new mining fleet which will cost an additional US$1.5bn. Christmas Creek will grow to 95Mt a year with first ore from 1Q13. The next 60Mt will come from the Solomon project with first ore set for 3Q13. Fortescue Metals Group reported NPAT up 76% to US$1.02bn for the year ended 30 June 2011. Revenues from ordinary activities were US$5.44bn, up 69% from last year, primarily due to higher commodity prices. Cost of sales increased by 30% to US$2.76bn for the full year. Higher costs per tonne were driven by the total material moved (strip ratio) and the continued appreciation of the Australian dollar against the US dollar impacting the largely Australian dollar denominated cost of production. Diluted EPS was 32.83 US cents compared to 18.82 US cents last year. Net operating cash flow was US$2.78bn compared to US$1.29bn last year. The final dividend declared was 4 AU cents, taking the full year dividend to 7 AU cents compared with nil last year.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 1,789.7 57.3 4.6 9.2 10.0 1.9 0.0
2012  F 1,710.1 54.7 3.4 9.6 8.0 1.5 0.0
2011  A 1,649.2 52.9 89.2 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
BlueScope Steel (BSL) $1,356 M -- -- -- -- -- 9.5294 0.0417 0.0000 0.0494
Fortescue Metals (FMG) $16,690 M 0.8953 0.0288 0.2763 9.7721 9.4985 7.4424 0.0131 0.0154 0.0173
Independence Group (IGO) $979 M -0.2740 -0.5289 2.2465 23.1701 49.1822 15.1493 0.0166 0.0077 0.0149
Mount Gibson Iron (MGX) $1,548 M 0.7801 0.4869 0.3020 6.6885 4.4983 3.4549 0.0280 0.0526 0.0611
OneSteel (OST) $980 M -0.0253 -0.3213 0.6290 4.1220 6.0732 3.7283 0.1370 0.0685 0.1142

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
FMG 0.34 9.42 7.22 0.65 3.20
Market 0.82 12.5 1.38 1.18 1.90
Sector 0.63 12.4 1.31 0.66 20.8

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Nev Power Chief Executive Officer,Executive Director 01 September 2011
Mr Herbert James Elliot Non-Executive Deputy Chairman 17 October 2003
Mr Owen Hegarty Non-Executive Director 13 October 2008
Mr Kenneth Charles Ambrecht Non-Executive Director 17 October 2003
Mr Graeme Rowley Non-Executive Director 17 October 2003
Mr Mark Bradley Barnaba Non-Executive Director 19 February 2010
Mr Herbert (Bud) Scruggs Non-Executive Director 26 August 2011
Mr Geoffrey Frank Brayshaw Non-Executive Director 01 July 2007
Mr Xiaowei Li Non-Executive Director 12 June 2009
Dr Geoff Raby Non-Executive Director 18 August 2011
Mr John (Andrew) Andrew Henry Forrest Non-Executive Director,Non-Executive Chairman 18 August 2011

Management
Name Position
Stephen Pearce Chief Financial Officer
Neville Power Chief Operating Officer
Rod Campbell Company Secretary
Peter Meurs Director Development
Paul Hallam Director Operations
William Ramsey Director Projects
Mark Thomas Joint Company Secretary

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
964,828,300 (30.99%) The Metal Group Pty Ltd
468,769,480 (15.05%) Hunan Valin Group

Calendar of Events
Date Event
15 January 2013 Report (Quarterly)
15 October 2012 Report (Quarterly)
05 October 2012 Report (Annual)
17 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
13 July 2012 Report (Quarterly)
10 April 2012 Report (Quarterly)
15 February 2012 Report (Interim)
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