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DUET GROUP (DUE)

DUET GROUP (DUE)

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General Information
Company Name: DUET Group
Stock Code: DUE
Website: www.duet.net.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Electric Utilities
Market Cap ($M): 2,081
Equiv. Shares (M): 1,110

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 1.875 $ 1.820 $ 1.880 $ 1.820 $ 1.830 5,956,501 $ 0.045  2.459 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 21st May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $1.865
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
DUET Group (DUE) is an owner of regulated energy utility infrastructure business in Australia. DUE is managed jointly by AMP Capital Investors Limited and Macquarie Capital Group Limited. DUE consists of two stapled registered managed investment schemes and an Australian public company.

Strategy Analysis:
DUE focuses on regulated and contracted utilities with stable and predictable revenue streams. The portfolio is diversified across energy sources and utility sectors within Australia. Historically, DUE looked to expand via acquisitions in OECD countries but no acquisitions are expected in the foreseeable future given more expensive debt post GFC and a poor track record. Current focus is on delivering organic growth commitments including smart electricity meters in Victoria. An equity raising and asset transactions mid 2011 reduced risk and simplified the portfolio to three majority stakes. Management is cleaning DUE up, making it more transparent and ensuring gearing and distributions are sustainable. DUET Group reported NPAT down 11% to $124.92m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Revenues from ordinary activities were $1.21bn, up 5% from last year. Basic and Diluted EPS was 1.44 cents compared to 4.88 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $830.55m compared to $742.32m last year. The final dividend declared was 10 cents, taking the full year dividend to 20 cents, in line with 20 cents last year.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 116.2 10.4 5.6 18.1 16.5 8.8 0.0
2012  F 108.0 9.8 8.5 19.1 16.0 8.5 0.0
2011  A 98.7 9.0 -27.1 18.4 20.0 12.0 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
DUET (DUE) $2,031 M 0.2144 -0.4110 -0.0073 13.0808 22.2087 22.3716 0.1075 0.0874 0.0901
Hastings Diversified Utilities (HDF) $1,261 M -- -- 0.3226 -- 63.9785 48.3740 0.0420 0.0426 0.0489
Infigen Energy (IFN) $164 M -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0465 0.0000 0.0000

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
DUE 1.22 21.3 1.34 10.00 3.14
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 0.94 17.7 1.11 1.82 2.65

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Scott Davies Alternate Director 18 January 2012
Ms Shemara Wikramanayake Alternate Director 25 November 2010
Jason Conroy Chief Financial Officer 25 February 2011
Mr John Stuart Roberts Executive Chairman 14 May 2004
Mr Philip Stuart Garling Executive Director 17 February 2004
Mr Douglas James Halley Non-Executive Director 13 February 2006
Hon Michael Lee Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004
Mr Duncan Sutherland Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004
Ms Emma Stein Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004
Hon Ron Finlay Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004
Mr Eric Goodwin Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004

Management
Name Position
David Bartholomew Chief Executive Officer
Christine Williams Company Secretary
Leanne Pickering Company Secretary

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
170,554,465 (15.03%) AMP Limited
97,104,481 (10.67%) Lazard Asset Management Pacific Co
61,107,600 (6.72%) Tyndall Investment Management (Australia) Ltd

Calendar of Events
Date Event
15 February 2013 Report (Interim)
24 September 2012 Report (Annual)
17 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
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