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CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED (CTX)

CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED (CTX)

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General Information
Company Name: Caltex Australia Limited
Stock Code: CTX
Website: www.caltex.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Market Cap ($M): 3,529
Equiv. Shares (M): 270

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 13.070 $ 12.710 $ 13.070 $ 12.570 $ 12.700 917,013 $ 0.370  2.913 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 25th May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $13.002
Brokers Surveyed: 6

Company Overview

Business Description:
Caltex Australia Limited (CTX) is a transport fuel supplier, convenience retailer as well as integrated oil refining and marketing company. It operates two major refineries at Kurnell in Sydney and Lytton in Brisbane. The company also operates with a myriad of subsidiaries; Caltex Australia Custodians, Caltex Australia Petroleum, Caltex Fuel Services, Petroleum Services, Hunter Pipe Line Company, B&S Distributors and Jet Fuels Petroleum Distributors.

Strategy Analysis:
CTX strategy is based on lifting refinery utilisation rates so it can take full advantage of excess demand for refined product in Australia. Refiner margins can be volatile but high refinery utilisation rates and strong marketing activities are important in driving operating cash flow and earnings. This allows for the reduction of debt levels and improving the return on equity and the return to shareholders. The alliance with Woolworths underpins volume growth. The CEO aims to lift CTX into the top quartile in terms of total shareholder return and to eliminate earnings volatility - a very big task. Caltex Australia reported NPAT up 91% to $270m for the half-year ended 30 June 2011. The result includes product and crude oil inventory gains of approx. $157m after tax due to the significant rise in the crude price through the half, compared with product and crude oil inventory losses of approx. $8m after tax for the first half of 2010. Revenues from ordinary activities were $11.0bn, up 21% from the same period last year. Diluted EPS was 99.9 cents compared to 52.3 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $107m compared to $116m last year. The interim dividend declared was 17 cents compared with 30 cents last year. The Marketing outlook remains positive. However, despite improvements in the regional supply demand balance, the refiner margin environment continues to be uncertain due to the continuing strong A$ and the size of the light-heavy spread.


Financial Summary
Year to Dec NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 312.2 115.6 4.9 11.3 60.0 4.6 100.0
2012  F 297.8 110.3 12.6 11.9 55.0 4.2 100.0
2011  A 264.5 98.0 -16.8 13.3 45.0 3.5 100.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Caltex (CTX) $3,429 M 1.6477 -0.6452 0.0486 4.0857 11.5161 10.9824 0.0354 0.0433 0.0472

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
CTX 1.28 5.68 1.60 10.00 0.16
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 1.05 19.1 1.30 1.11 11.2

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Ms Colleen Jones-Cervantes Alternate Director 27 July 2006
Mr Peter Wissel Alternate Director for Mr Fish and Mr Jones-Cervantes 23 August 2005
Mr Julian Segal Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director 01 July 2009
Ms Elizabeth Bloomfield Bryan Non-Executive Chairman 18 July 2002
Mr Walter (Walt) Kurt Szopiak Non-Executive Director 17 April 2009
Mr Timothy Leveille Non-Executive Director 01 December 2010
Mr Ryan Krogmeier Non-Executive Director 30 March 2012
Mr Greig Gailey Non-Executive Director (other) 11 December 2007
Mr Trevor Bourne Non-Executive Director (other) 02 March 2006
Mr John Gordon Thorn Non-Executive Director (other) 02 June 2004

Management
Name Position
Simon Hepworth Chief Financial Officer
Peter Lim Company Secretary
Katie King Company Secretary
Simon Willshire General Manager - Human Resources
Andy Walz General Manager - Marketing
Gary Smith General Manager - Refining
Mike McMenamin General Manager - Strategy, Planning and Development
Ken James General Manager - Supply and Distribution

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
135,000,000 (50.00%) Chevron Global Energy Inc

Calendar of Events
Date Event
29 March 2013 Report (Annual)
25 February 2013 Report (Prelim)
20 August 2012 Report (Interim)
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