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ATLAS IRON LIMITED (AGO)

ATLAS IRON LIMITED (AGO)

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General Information
Company Name: Atlas Iron Limited
Stock Code: AGO
Website: www.atlasiron.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Market Cap ($M): 2,962
Equiv. Shares (M): 895

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 3.250 $ 3.300 $ 3.320 $ 3.240 $ 3.310 3,396,949 $ -0.060  -1.813 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Buy
Recommendation Date: 30th Jan 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $3.82
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Atlas Iron Limited (AGO) is an iron ore producer located in Western Australia. Projects are predominantly located within the Northeast Pilbara region and cover approximately 26,000km2 of ground prospective for iron ore.

Strategy Analysis:
AGO operates two iron ore mines at Pardoo and Wodgina in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. Production reached 6Mtpa in October 2010 with 12Mtpa targeted by the end of 2012. AGO continues to pursue acquisitions predominantly within the Pilbara region. An exploration program has been rolled out with a substantial increase in the resource and reserves position so far. Atlas Iron reported NPAT of $168.62m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Iron ore prices strengthened over the year; however, operating performance was impacted adversely by the continued strengthening of the Australian dollar. Revenues from ordinary activities were $584.91m, compared to $84.77m last year, with the group shipping a record 4.6Mt (2010: 1.2Mt) of ore in the year. Diluted EPS was 26.1 cents compared to (9.6) cents last year. The net operating cash inflow was $221.2m compared to an outflow of $25.06mm in the pcp. The final (maiden) dividend declared was 3 cents, taking the full year dividend to 3 cents.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 268.9 29.4 -16.5 11.2 3.0 0.9 0.0
2012  F 272.4 35.3 30.9 9.4 3.0 0.9 0.0
2011  A 170.2 26.9 -- 11.1 3.0 1.0 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Atlas Iron (AGO) $2,899 M -- -0.1184 0.3712 12.0625 13.6824 9.9784 0.0093 0.0099 0.0097
BHP Billiton (BHP) $120,760 M 0.3914 0.0757 0.1989 10.3152 9.5891 7.9980 0.0250 0.0317 0.0333
Iluka Resources (ILU) $7,244 M -- 12.8318 1.1768 200.6961 14.5098 6.6656 0.0046 0.0361 0.0767
Rio Tinto (RIO) $30,721 M 0.7519 0.2220 0.0026 10.0795 8.2484 8.2270 0.0151 0.0182 0.0207
Sims Metal Management (SGM) $3,067 M 0.4412 0.1629 0.4163 16.0284 13.7835 9.7322 0.0315 0.0382 0.0445

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
AGO 0.47 13.6 1.58 1.63 3.66
Market 0.82 12.5 1.38 1.21 1.90
Sector 0.61 12.1 1.30 0.67 20.9

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr David N Flanagan Managing Director 15 September 2004
Dr David Marshall Smith Non-Executive Director 06 November 2009
Ms Tai Sook Yee Non-Executive Director 31 May 2010
Mr Jeff Dowling Non-Executive Director 08 November 2011
Mr David Hannon Non-Executive Director,Interim Chairman 06 August 2004

Management
Name Position
Mark David Hancock Chief Financial Officer, Joint Company Secretary
Ken Brinsden Chief Operating Officer
Anthony(Tony) Michael Walsh Company Secretary
John McMath General Manager Infrastructure Strategy

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
50,326,628 (5.86%) Schroder Investment Management Australia Limited
66,749,653 (7.77%) IMC Resource Investment Pty Ltd (formerly IMC Resources Pty Ltd)
48,985,998 (5.70%) BlackRock Group

Calendar of Events
Date Event
23 January 2013 Report (Quarterly)
23 October 2012 Report (Quarterly)
05 October 2012 Report (Annual)
23 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
25 July 2012 Report (Quarterly)
19 April 2012 Report (Quarterly)
24 February 2012 Report (Interim)
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