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ABACUS PROPERTY GROUP (ABP)

ABACUS PROPERTY GROUP (ABP)

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General Information
Company Name: Abacus Property Group
Stock Code: ABP
Website: www.abacusproperty.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Diversified Real Estate Activities
Market Cap ($M): 708
Equiv. Shares (M): 387

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
$ 1.830 $ 1.830 $ 1.845 $ 1.830 $ 1.830 368,739 0%

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Sell
Recommendation Date: 18th Jan 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $2.218
Brokers Surveyed: 5

Company Overview

Business Description:
Abacus Property Group (ABP) is a stapled security, which combines two companies; Abacus Group Holdings Limited and Abacus Group Projects Limited, and two trusts; Abacus Trust and Abacus Income Trust, having listed on the ASX at $1.10 per unit in November 2002. The business is principally a property investment and funds management group with interests in property finance, joint ventures and development.

Strategy Analysis:
ABP is a fundamental property investor, acquiring properties on balance sheet for active asset management and later recycling into funds management vehicles providing both high margin transaction fees and replacement annuity style fee revenue. ABP has a strategy to target balance sheet exposure of 70% direct property assets and 30% from funds management and property ventures. The Groups strategy implementation is flexible to the point of being opportunistically responsive but remains limited by capital availability given lower quality property assets. Abacus Property Group reported NPAT down 32% to $17.35m for the year ended 30 June 2011. The reduction was largely due to the restructuring of its investments in a number of its unlisted retail funds and other investments during the period. Revenues from ordinary activities were $201.01m, up 55% from last year. Diluted EPS was 4.66 cents compared to 7.65 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $122.49m compared to $64.61m last year. The final dividend declared was 8.25 cents, taking the full year dividend to 16.5 cents compared with 3.15 cents last year. The announced strategic review of funds management will determine if the Group's long term return model is compatible with the passive investment preferences of the unlisted retail sector in addition to identifying ways to free up the Group's capital invested in its unlisted retail funds.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 70.8 18.3 4.2 10.0 17.4 9.5 0.0
2012  F 67.3 17.6 -3.3 10.4 16.7 9.1 0.0
2011  A 67.7 18.2 16.9 12.0 16.5 7.6 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Abacus (ABP) $708 M 0.6620 -0.0304 -0.0069 9.4427 9.7392 9.8071 0.0902 0.0913 0.0926
GPT Group (GPT) $5,483 M 0.3763 -0.3386 0.0112 8.9672 13.5570 13.4071 0.0446 0.0582 0.0608
Mirvac Group (MGR) $4,237 M 0.1382 0.0000 0.0361 11.7647 11.7647 11.3553 0.0661 0.0664 0.0703
Stockland (SGP) $7,783 M 0.0871 0.0134 0.0227 10.7314 10.5893 10.3544 0.0705 0.0714 0.0735
Westfield (WDC) $20,296 M 0.1969 -0.1661 0.0496 11.5719 13.8775 13.2220 0.0723 0.0551 0.0567

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth
ABP 1.19 9.62 0.64 10.00
Market 0.82 12.5 1.38 1.18
Sector 1.27 11.5 0.75 5.76

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Dr Frank Michael Wolf Managing Director 04 December 1997
Mr John Michael Thame Non-Executive Chairman 11 September 2002
Mr Malcolm Geoffrey Irving Non-Executive Director 12 September 2002
Mr David J Bastian Non-Executive Director 14 November 2006
Mr William (Bill) John Bartlett Non-Executive Director 14 February 2007
Ms Myra Salkinder Non-Executive Director 12 April 2011

Management
Name Position
R. de Aboitiz Chief Financial Officer
Ellis Varejes Company Secretary
P. Strain Director Property
C. Laird Director Property Ventures
J. L?Estrange Director Property Ventures

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
26,765,156 (7.07%) Perpetual Limited and subsidiaries
144,383,165 (38.15%) Calculator Australia Pty Ltd

Calendar of Events
Date Event
16 October 2012 Report (Annual)
23 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
13 March 2012 Div Pay Date
29 February 2012 Report (Interim)
16 February 2012 Report (Interim)
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