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ATLAS IRON LIMITED (AGO)

ATLAS IRON LIMITED (AGO)

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General Information
Company Name: Atlas Iron Limited
Stock Code: AGO
Website: www.atlasiron.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Market Cap ($M): 1,809
Equiv. Shares (M): 905

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 2.000 $ 2.040 $ 2.080 $ 1.990 $ 2.020 10,061,035 $ -0.020  -0.990 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 18th May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $3.314
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Atlas Iron Limited (AGO) is an iron ore producer located in Western Australia. Projects are predominantly located within the Northeast Pilbara region and cover approximately 26,000km2 of ground prospective for iron ore.

Strategy Analysis:
AGO operates two iron ore mines at Pardoo and Wodgina in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. Production reached 6Mtpa in October 2010 with 12Mtpa targeted by the end of 2014. AGO continues to pursue acquisitions predominantly within the Pilbara region. An exploration program has been rolled out with a substantial increase in the resource and reserves position so far. Atlas Iron reported NPAT of $168.62m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Iron ore prices strengthened over the year; however, operating performance was impacted adversely by the continued strengthening of the Australian dollar. Revenues from ordinary activities were $584.91m, compared to $84.77m last year, with the group shipping a record 4.6Mt (2010: 1.2Mt) of ore in the year. Diluted EPS was 26.1 cents compared to (9.6) cents last year. The net operating cash inflow was $221.2m compared to an outflow of $25.06mm in the pcp. The final (maiden) dividend declared was 3 cents, taking the full year dividend to 3 cents.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F 268.9 29.2 11.8 6.8 3.0 1.5 0.0
2012  F 202.8 26.1 -3.0 7.7 3.0 1.5 0.0
2011  A 170.2 26.9 -- 11.1 3.0 1.0 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Atlas Iron (AGO) $1,827 M -- -0.4680 1.1113 7.5205 14.1358 6.6954 0.0149 0.0160 0.0190
BHP Billiton (BHP) $102,742 M 0.3914 -0.0372 0.2637 8.7762 9.1155 7.2131 0.0294 0.0352 0.0372
Iluka Resources (ILU) $5,259 M 13.0255 0.5928 0.5960 10.3888 6.5223 4.0867 0.0597 0.0796 0.1027
Rio Tinto (RIO) $24,559 M 0.1301 -0.0179 0.1738 7.1298 7.2595 6.1846 0.0253 0.0290 0.0323
Sims Metal Management (SGM) $2,522 M 0.4412 -0.1701 0.6612 13.1777 15.8782 9.5584 0.0384 0.0361 0.0471

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
AGO 0.24 12.9 0.95 2.16 2.21
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 0.41 9.48 1.05 1.04 14.3

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr David N Flanagan Executive Chairman 15 September 2004
Mr Kenneth Edward Brinsden Managing Director 21 February 2012
Mrs Kerry Sanderson Non-Executive Director 21 February 2012
Dr David Marshall Smith Non-Executive Director 06 November 2009
Ms Tai Sook Yee Non-Executive Director 31 May 2010
Mr Jeff Dowling Non-Executive Director 08 November 2011
Mr David Hannon Non-Executive Director,Interim Chairman 06 August 2004

Management
Name Position
Mark David Hancock Chief Financial Officer, Joint Company Secretary
Ken Brinsden Chief Operating Officer
Anthony(Tony) Michael Walsh Company Secretary
John McMath General Manager Infrastructure Strategy

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
50,326,628 (5.86%) Schroder Investment Management Australia Limited
66,749,653 (7.77%) IMC Resource Investment Pty Ltd (formerly IMC Resources Pty Ltd)
48,985,998 (5.70%) BlackRock Group

Calendar of Events
Date Event
26 April 2013 Report (Quarterly)
27 February 2013 Report (Interim)
26 February 2013 Report (Interim)
23 January 2013 Report (Quarterly)
23 October 2012 Report (Quarterly)
05 October 2012 Report (Annual)
23 August 2012 Report (Prelim)
25 July 2012 Report (Quarterly)
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