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AQUILA RESOURCES LIMITED (AQA)

AQUILA RESOURCES LIMITED (AQA)

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General Information
Company Name: Aquila Resources Limited
Stock Code: AQA
Website: www.aquilaresources.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Market Cap ($M): 1,178
Equiv. Shares (M): 412

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 2.860 $ 2.940 $ 3.020 $ 2.830 $ 2.930 454,993 $ -0.070  -2.389 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Sell
Recommendation Date: 2nd May 2012
12 Month Target Price (average): $5.32
Brokers Surveyed: 4

Company Overview

Business Description:
Aquila Resources Limited (AQA) is a minerals exploration company focused on coal and iron ore exploration in Australia and overseas. AQA also produces coal from its Isaac Plains Project in the Bowen Basin, Central Queensland.

Strategy Analysis:
AQA has a strong pipeline of projects at various stages of development. The 50% owned Isaac Plains Coal Project began production in November 2006. Cashflow from the project and JV partners will be used to fund AQA's various exploration projects. The company is targeting a 17 year mine life with annual production of 3.6mt (split 75% metallurgical coal and 25% thermal coal. Aquila's other advanced project are Belvedere Coal Underground Project, Eagle Downs Coal and West Pilbara Iron Ore. Belvedere has a large hard coking coal JORC resource of 3.9mt. CVRD has exercised an option to acquire 51% of the project for US$90m. CVRD can acquire the balance of the project at fair market value. A BFS commenced in 2H07. Project commitment is expected in 2010. At Eagle Downs Coal, which is less advanced is progressing a pre-feasibility study due in late 2008. A concept study completed in July 2007 looked at a 7Mtpa operation with initial capex of $620m and mine life of 30+ years. The resource stands at 780Mt. AQA's Iron ore projects are progressing with the establishment of the Australian Premium Iron Ore Joint Venture (API), with CVRD-Inco (sold by AMCI to CVRD). CVRD will sole fund the first $10m of exploration expenditure, which will focus on the west Pilbara region in WA. AQA also has a number of other iron ore and coal JV projects which it is earning interests in through exploration. These projects are spread across Botswana and Australia. Aquila Resources reported negative cash flow of $39.31m for the quarter ended 30 September 2011. Operating cash flow for the period was $(19.68m). Payments for exploration and evaluation were $(30.33m). Investing cash flow was $(19.63m). Financing cash flow was nil. Cash in hand at the end of the quarter was $146.2m. The company also reported that coal production from the Isaac Plains coal mine has almost returned to the planned 2.8Mtpa rate following recovery from the effects of flooding; the budget for the Eagle Downs hard coking coal project for FY2012 of $70.4m for project early works was approved in July 2011; early works for the pre-feasibility study for the Talwood coking coal project have commenced; and maiden mineral resource (JORC) estimates for the Buckland Hills (149Mt), Buckland Hills South East (46Mt) and the Weckl (101Mt) deposits were completed.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2013  F -14.3 -3.8 -- -75.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012  F -66.5 -17.9 -- -16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011  A -64.6 -17.7 -- -42.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F 2011 A 2012 F 2013 F
Aquila Resources (AQA) $1,207 M -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Coalspur Mines (CPL) $667 M -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Energy Resources (ERA) $714 M -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Gloucester Coal (GCL) $1,406 M 0.1369 -- -- 20.9682 -- 23.6600 0.0000 0.0000 0.0061
Whitehaven Coal (WHC) $4,012 M 0.2901 -0.1347 1.0366 26.6667 30.8171 15.1318 0.0187 0.0138 0.0220

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
AQA -- -- 3.21 -- 8.57
Market 0.80 12.1 1.33 1.35 1.68
Sector 1.05 19.1 1.30 1.11 11.2

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Anthony Poli Chief Executive Officer,Executive Chairman 14 March 2000
Mr Charles (Charlie) Bennett Bass Non-Executive Director 14 March 2000
Mr Derek Thomas Cowlan Non-Executive Director 14 March 2000
Mr Gordon Thomas Galt Non-Executive Director 22 August 2007
Mr Zhihao Dai Non-Executive Director 27 November 2009

Management
Name Position
H C Rae Chief Financial Officer
Jack Raymond Wood Company Secretary
S J Pilcher General Manager ? Coal
M N Alciaturi General Manager ? Finance and Corporate
R G Tipper General Manager ? Iron Ore
J A Pavy General Manager ? Legal
B E Green Head of Exploration

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
108,276,852 (28.93%) Poli, Anthony
59,959,609 (16.01%) M&G Investment Management Limited
22,721,172 (7.04%) Vanguard Precious Metals and Mining Fund
15,430,651 (5.27%) BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited (formerly Barclays Global Investors Australia)
38,995,166 (12.10%) Bass, Charles B
43,946,413 (15.00%) Baosteel Group

Calendar of Events
Date Event
29 April 2013 Report (Quarterly)
23 January 2013 Report (Quarterly)
26 October 2012 Report (Quarterly)
25 October 2012 Report (Annual)
12 September 2012 Report (Annual)
26 July 2012 Report (Quarterly)
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