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AGL Energy Limited (AGK)

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Gearing Available  Margin Lending Available (70%)

General Information
Company Name: AGL Energy
Stock Code: AGK
Website: www.agl.com.au
Market Cap ($M): 6,446
Equiv. Shares (M): 443
 Research Report Available

Report price : $16.50 (inc. GST)
Research by : Aegis Equities Research

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Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
  $ 14.540 $ 14.550 $ 14.720 $ 14.280 $ 14.370 1,445,169 $ 0.170  1.183 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation : Hold
Recommendation Date : 7th Jan 2009
12 Month Target Price (average) : $15.756
Brokers Surveyed : 10

Market Statistics
% of Market: 0.8100
% of Sector: 38.3770
Sector: Utilities
Industry Group: Utilities
Industry: Multi-Utilities

Company Overview
Company Overview
AGK's focus as a diversified upstream energy and downstream retail company is sound. The company is one of Australia's largest integrated energy players boasting a national spread and an increasing focus on renewables.
Company History
The company was formed in 1837 and listed when the ASX opened in 1871. In the 1990s, AGL purchased electricity networks in Victoria, pipelines in WA and utilities in New Zealand. AGL acquired customers in South Australia, Victoria and New Zealand. In 2000, the group spun-off its transmission pipelines into APA. The NZ business was sold in 2004. AGL and Alinta then merged their respective infrastructure businesses in October 2006, with AGK emerging as a new separately listed entity.
Differentiating Factor
AGK's focus as a diversified upstream energy and downstream retail company is sound. The company is one of Australia's largest integrated energy players boasting a national spread and an increasing focus on renewables.
Major Customers & Competitors
The group’s major customers include domestic gas and electricity. With gas and electricity deregulation AGK faces increasing competition from both private and state-owned energy retailers. These include Origin Energy, TXU, Energy Australia and Energex.

Financial Summary
Year to Jun
NPAT
Rep $M
NPAT1
Adj $M
EPS
c
EPS chg
%
PER
x
PER rel
All Ords x
PER rel
Sector x
DPS
c
Yield
%
Franking
%
ROE
%
2006A 457 545 119.3 59.7 12.2 0.9 0.8 17.0 1.2 100 15.4
2007A 411 411 104.9 -12.1 13.9 1.2 0.8 35.5 2.4 100 15.5
2008A 229 351 80.6 -23.2 18.0 1.6 0.9 53.0 3.6 100 6.3
1NPAT is normalised by removing non-recurring items and goodwill. All the above statistics are derived from normalised earnings.

Peer Comparison
P/E (x) EPS Change (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Code Last Price Mkt Cap 07A 08F 07A 08F 07A 08F
AGL Energy AGK $14.37 $6,420M 17.8335 15.9745 -23.1512 11.6377 3.6882 4.0710
SP AusNet SPN $0.91 $1,919M 11.2787 11.1371 0.2945 1.2718 12.7143 13.0330
APA Group APA $3.00 $1,465M 18.9057 18.2250 -3.4300 3.7347 9.8333 10.1300
Spark Infrastructure SKI $1.22 $1,231M 7.1270 6.7153 -10.9751 6.1308 15.1721 15.5574
DUET DUE $1.82 $1,149M 18.3032 8.5790 174.5702 113.3482 14.8760 15.7025

Share Price Returns
3 Months (%) 6 Months (%) 12 Months (%)
AGK 1.9149 2.6429 7.4794
Sector -13.1246 -20.5044 -35.4031
Market -19.7627 -27.5434 -40.8814

Ratio Comparison
Year AGK Sector Market
P/E (x) FY07 13.9 17.2 11.9
FY08 18.0 21.1 11.3
Yield (%) FY07 2.4 11.0 5.9
FY08 3.6 11.3 6.1
EV/EBIT (x) FY07 11.6 16.8 7.9
FY08 11.7 13.8 7.3
EV/EBITDA (x) FY07 9.3 12.1 6.7
FY08 10.2 9.7 6.1

Directors
Name Position
M Johnson Chairman
Sir R A Brierley Director
C Hewson Director
G Reaney Director
M Ould Director
G Martin Managing Director
T Daniels Non-Executive Director
J Maycock Director
B Phillips Non-Executive Director
M Fraser Director
L Hosking Non-Executive Director

Management
Name Position
M Fraser CEO /Managing Director
G Martin Managing Director
J McAloon Investor Relations
G Hayes CFO
G Bennett GM People and Culture
L Fisk GM Corporate Services and Co. Secretary

Substantial Shareholders
Name % Holding
n/a 19.9390
Maple Brown Abbott 5.0700
Baracus 5.0100

Calendar of Events
Date Event
15-Oct-2008 AGM Date for Final Year Result
26-Sep-2008 Dividend Date Payable for Final Year Result (27c 100% franked)
04-Sep-2008 Dividend Record Date for Final Year Result (27c 100% franked)
29-Aug-2008 Dividend Ex-Dividend Date for Final Year Result (27c 100% franked)
20-Aug-2008 Reporting Date for Final Year Result


Data supplied by Aegis Equities Research Pty Limited (ACN 085 293 910).
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